In: Economics
Discuss how the facts in the opening Case for Analysis titled “Competition and Cooperative Behavior in the Potato Industry” (Economics for managers Chapter 7, pp. 171-172) and the subsequent discussion of the potato industry (Adjustment in the Potato Industry) illustrate the lack of control over prices by individual potato producers in a competitive market, the response to high prices predicted by the model of perfect competition, and the attempts by producers in a competitive market to gain control over price. How did perfect competition play out in this case? In your response, outline the characteristics and outcomes of perfect competition. Check recent business publications to find out how successful the United Potato Growers of America cooperative has been in recent times.
You may use these suggested readings and/or an outside credible source (such as the Wall Street Journal or other business publications)
Suggested articles:
Students of American history learn that the defeat of the
southern Confederate states in the American Civil War ended slavery
in the production of cotton and other crops in that region. There
is also an economics lesson in this story.
At the war’s outbreak on 12 April 1861, President Abraham Lincoln
ordered the US Navy to blockade the ports of the Confederate
states. These states had declared themselves independent of the US
to preserve the institution of slavery.
As a result of the naval blockade, the export of US-grown raw
cotton to the textile mills of Lancashire in England came to a
virtual halt, eliminating three-quarters of the supply of this
critical raw material. Sailing at night, a few blockade-running
ships evaded Lincoln’s patrols, but 1,500 were destroyed or
captured.
We will see in this unit that the market price of a good, such as
cotton, is determined by the interaction of supply and demand. In
the case of raw cotton, the tiny quantities reaching England
through the blockade were a dramatic reduction in supply. There was
large excess demandexcess demandA situation in
which the quantity of a good demanded is greater than the quantity
supplied at the current price. See also: excess
supply.close—that is to say, at the prevailing price, the
quantity of raw cotton demanded exceeded the available supply. As a
result, some sellers realized they could profit by raising the
price. Eventually, cotton was sold at prices six times higher than
before the war, keeping the lucky blockade-runners in business.
Consumption of cotton fell to half the prewar level, throwing
hundreds of thousands of people who worked in cotton mills out of
work.
Mill owners responded. For them, the price rise was an increase in their costs. Some firms failed and left the industry due to the reduction in their profits. Mill owners looked to India to find an alternative to US cotton, greatly increasing the demand for cotton there. The excess demand in the markets for Indian cotton gave some sellers an opportunity to profit by raising prices, resulting in increases in the prices of Indian cotton, which quickly rose almost to match the price of US cotton.
Responding to the higher income now obtainable from growing cotton,
Indian farmers abandoned other crops and grew cotton instead. The
same occurred wherever cotton could be grown, including Brazil. In
Egypt, farmers who rushed to expand the production of cotton in
response to the higher prices began employing slaves, captured
(like the American slaves that Lincoln was fighting to free) in
sub-Saharan Africa.
There was a problem. The only source of cotton that could come
close to making up the shortfall from the US was in India. But
Indian cotton differed from American cotton, and required an
entirely different kind of processing. Within months of the shift
to Indian cotton, new machinery was developed to process it.
As the demand for this new equipment soared, firms like Dobson
and Barlow, who made textile machinery, saw profits take-off. We
know about this firm, because detailed sales records have survived.
It responded by increasing production of these new machines and
other equipment. No mill could afford to be left behind in the rush
to retool, because if it didn’t, it could not use the new raw
materials. The result was, in the words of Douglas Farnie, a
historian who specialized in the history of cotton production,
‘such an extensive investment of capital that it amounted almost to
the creation of a new industry.’
The lesson for economists: Lincoln ordered the blockade, but in
what followed, the farmers and sellers who increased the price of
cotton were not responding to orders. Neither were the mill owners
who cut back the output of textiles and laid off the mill workers,
nor were the mill owners desperately searching for new sources of
raw material. By ordering new machinery, the mill owners set off a
boom in investment and new jobs.
All of these decisions took place over a matter of months, by
millions of people, most of whom were total strangers to one
another, each seeking to make the best of a totally new economic
situation. American cotton was now scarcer, and people responded,
from the cotton fields of Maharashtra in India to the Nile delta,
to Brazil, and the Lancashire mills.
To understand how the change in the price of cotton transformed
the world cotton and textile production system, think about the
prices determined by markets as messages. The increase in the price
of US cotton shouted: ‘find other sources, and find new
technologies appropriate for their use.’ Similarly, when the price
of petrol rises, the message to the car driver is: ‘take the
train’, which is passed on to the railway operator: ‘there are
profits to be made by running more train services’. When the price
of electricity goes up, the firm or the family is being told:
‘think about installing photovoltaic cells on the roof.’
In many cases—like the chain of events that began at Lincoln’s desk
on 12 April 1861—the messages make sense not only for individual
firms and families but also for society: if something has become
more expensive then it is likely that more people are demanding it,
or the cost of producing it has risen, or both. By finding an
alternative, the individual is saving money and conserving
society’s resources. This is because, in some conditions, prices
provide an accurate measure of the scarcity of a good or
service.1
This is explained in more detail in ‘Who’s in Charge?’, Chapter 1
of Paul Seabright’s book on how market economies manage to organize
complex trades among strangers (follow the link to access Chapter 1
as a pdf). Paul Seabright. 2010. The Company of Strangers: A
Natural History of Economic Life(Revised Edition). Princeton,
NJ: Princeton University Press.
In planned economies, which operated in the Soviet Union and other
central and eastern European countries before the 1990s (discussed
in Unit 1), messages about how things would be produced are sent
deliberately by government experts. They decide what will be
produced and at what price it will be sold. The same is true, as we
saw in Unit 6, inside large firms like General Motors, where
managers (and not prices) determine who does what.
The amazing thing about prices determined by markets is that individuals do not send the messages, but rather the anonymous interaction of sometimes millions of people. And when conditions change—a cheaper way of producing bread, for example—nobody has to change the message (‘put bread instead of potatoes on the table tonight’). A price change results from a change in firms’ costs. The reduced price of bread says it all.
CASE STUDY:
Competition and Cooperative Behavior in the Potato IndustryIn 1996 there was a major increase in the supply of fresh potatoes, which drove potato pricesfrom $8 per 100 pounds in 1995 to between $1.50 and $2 per 100 pounds in 1996, a price thatwas one-third the cost of production. Based on the substantial profits they had earned with their1995 crops, farmers increased production in 1996, resulting in a 48.8-billion-pound crop, and thelargest in U.S.This was typical behavior in the potato industry where individual potato farmers let the marketdetermine the price they obtained for their crops. High prices caused farmers to overproduce,which drove prices down below the costs of production for many farmers, making the industryunprofitable. Each farmer typically tried to gain market share under the assumption that otherfarmers would have a small crop due to weather, frosts, pests, or some other natural disaster. Ifgrowing conditions turned out favorable, the increased supply of potatoes pushed prices down,causing financial hardship.In 2004, Idaho farmers formed a cooperative, United Potato, which has successfully unitedfarmers to curb production.1.Potato production was cut by $6.8 million in 2005.2.Revenues shot up by 48.5% in 2005.3.Legal issues (United Potato argued that Capper-Volstead Act exempts farmers from federalantitrust laws and permit them to share price and control supply).Potato market is also influenced by changes on the demand side.II.Dietary changes (a Harvard study showed that potatoes were one of the leadingfactors responsible for weight gain)III.Slower expansion of the fast food industry in the US and Japan and the demand forFrench fries.