Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Check that the measurements for the heart rate are coming from a normal distribution by constructing...

  1. Check that the measurements for the heart rate are coming from a normal distribution by constructing a histogram.
  2. Create indicator variables for female and good AQI. Fit the regression model and discuss its goodness of fit. What portion of variation in heart rate can this model explain?
  3. Write the fitted model. What variables are significant predictors of heart rate at the 5% level of significance?
  4. Plot residuals against predicted values. Does it show any pattern?
  5. Compute the predicted heart rate of a 50-year-old male who has a BMI of 20, is not taking any heart medications, and resides in an area with a good air quality

A cardiologist conducts a study to find out what factors are good predictors of elevated heart rate (HR) in her patients. She measures heart rate at rest in 30 patients on their next visit, and obtains from the medical charts additional information on their age, gender, body mass index (BMI), and the number of currently taken heart medications. She also obtains the air quality index (AQI) for area of residence of her patients (unhealthy or good). The data are given in the file

age gender BMI nmeds AQI HR
69 M 24.1 2 unhealthy 94
54 M 29.6 0 unhealthy 92
57 F 20.2 2 good 81
71 F 21.5 2 good 100
62 M 27.4 3 good 79
58 M 18.9 2 good 79
65 F 22.2 1 good 106
70 F 25.9 1 unhealthy 117
67 F 23.4 1 good 94
63 M 23.8 2 unhealthy 108
55 M 24.6 0 good 94
64 F 31.4 3 good 97
63 M 28 2 good 91
66 M 22.9 2 good 86
44 F 17.2 0 unhealthy 86
53 M 25.2 0 good 84
71 F 20.3 2 unhealthy 111
49 M 17.1 1 good 75
65 F 23.4 2 unhealthy 114
45 F 19 2 unhealthy 83
56 F 22.9 3 unhealthy 112
74 M 32.4 1 good 97
48 F 29.9 0 good 76
50 F 23.9 1 unhealthy 97
66 F 27.8 3 good 82
73 F 24.8 3 good 105
61 M 32.8 1 good 84
82 M 29.7 0 good 92
72 F 25.2 0 good 114
59 F 22.6 0 good

86

Solutions

Expert Solution

Descriptive Statistics

Mean

Std. Deviation

N

HR

93.8667

12.37833

30

Age

61.7333

9.32528

30

Gender

.4333

.50401

30

AQI

.6667

.47946

30

BMI

24.6293

4.26183

30

heart rate (HR) on average 93.8667 of  patients. On average age 61.7333 of  patients.

Correlations

HR

Age

Gender

AQI

BMI

Pearson Correlation

HR

1.000

.505

-.361

-.438

.025

Age

.505

1.000

.047

.234

.360

Gender

-.361

.047

1.000

.190

.267

AQI

-.438

.234

.190

1.000

.268

BMI

.025

.360

.267

.268

1.000

Sig. (1-tailed)

HR

.

.002

.025

.008

.447

Age

.002

.

.402

.107

.025

Gender

.025

.402

.

.157

.077

AQI

.008

.107

.157

.

.076

BMI

.447

.025

.077

.076

.

N

HR

30

30

30

30

30

Age

30

30

30

30

30

Gender

30

30

30

30

30

AQI

30

30

30

30

30

BMI

30

30

30

30

30

Heart Rate to BMI and age as positive correlation.

Heart Rate to Gender and AQI are perfect positive correlation.

Model Summaryb

Model

R

R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

Change Statistics

Durbin-Watson

R Square Change

F Change

df1

df2

Sig. F Change

1

.814a

.663

.609

7.73649

.663

12.310

4

25

.000

2.234

a. Predictors: (Constant), BMI, Gender, AQI, Age

b. Dependent Variable: HR

R_Squre = 0.663

66.3% indicates that the model explains all the variability of the HR data around its mean.It's mean's that the model is good fit for the heart rate data.

ANOVAa

Model

Sum of Squares

df

Mean Square

F

Sig.

1

Regression

2947.134

4

736.784

12.310

.000b

Residual

1496.332

25

59.853

Total

4443.467

29

a. Dependent Variable: HR

b. Predictors: (Constant), BMI, Gender, AQI, Age

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig.

95.0% Confidence Interval for B

Correlations

B

Std. Error

Beta

Lower Bound

Upper Bound

Zero-order

Partial

Part

1

(Constant)

52.661

11.034

4.773

.000

29.936

75.386

Age

.847

.168

.638

5.054

.000

.502

1.192

.505

.711

.587

Gender

-7.216

2.991

-.294

-2.413

.024

-13.377

-1.056

-.361

-.435

-.280

AQI

-13.833

3.177

-.536

-4.354

.000

-20.377

-7.289

-.438

-.657

-.505

BMI

.052

.380

.018

.136

.893

-.731

.834

.025

.027

.016

a. Dependent Variable: HR

Regression model :

HR = 53.388 + 0.854 *Age - 7.119 *Gender - 13.763 * AQI

The predicate heart rate 53.388 as per one unit of heart rate.

The predicate heart rate to  age increases by 0.845 year as per one unit of heart rate.

The predicate heart rate to  Gender decreases by -7.119  as per one unit of heart rate.

The predicate heart rate to  AQI decreases by -13.763 year as per one unit of heart rate.

Coefficient Correlationsa

Model

BMI

Gender

AQI

Age

1

Correlations

BMI

1.000

-.240

-.161

-.325

Gender

-.240

1.000

-.138

.075

AQI

-.161

-.138

1.000

-.162

Age

-.325

.075

-.162

1.000

Covariances

BMI

.144

-.273

-.195

-.021

Gender

-.273

8.947

-1.311

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