In: Economics
Susan lives in the US and has $1000 to invest. She has to decide between buying a one year CD (certificate of deposit) from a bank in the US or one in France. The US CD, denominated in dollars, pays an interest rate of 3%, while French CD, denominated in Euro, pays an interest rate of 2%. The dollar-euro spot rate is 1.4 and the dollar–euro forward rate is 1.5. What should Susan do?
Case 1 - Susan invest $1,000 in US
Amount invested = $1,000
Interest rate = 3%
Time period = 1 year
Calculate the amount to be earned in 1-year -
Amount = $1,000(1+0.03)1 = $1,000 * 1.03 = $1,030
The Susan will have $1,030 after one year if she invests $1,000 in US
Case 2 - Susan invests $1,000 in France -
Amount invested = $1,000
For investing in France, dollars have to be converted into Euros
Dollar-Euro spot rate =$1.4/euro
1 euro = $1.4
$1 = (1/1.4) euro
$1,000 = (1,000/1.4) = 714.28 Euros
So, Susan will invest 714.28 euros in France.
Interest rate = 2% or 0.02
Time period = 1 year
Calculate the amount to be earned in 1-year -
Amount = 714.28(1+0.02)1 = 714.28 * 1.02 = 728.56 Euros
Converting back to dollars -
Dollar-Euro forward rate = $1.5/Euro
Amount (in dollars) = 728.56 * 1.5 = $1,092.84
The Susan will earn $1,092.84 after one year, if she invests $1,000 in France.
The amount earned is greater in case of investment in France.
So, Susan should invest $1,000 in buying a one-year CD from a bank in France.