Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Gentle Ben is a Morgan horse at a Colorado dude ranch. Over the past 8 weeks,...

Gentle Ben is a Morgan horse at a Colorado dude ranch. Over the past 8 weeks, a veterinarian took the following glucose readings from this horse (in mg/100 ml).

91 89 80 104 97 111 82 87

The sample mean is x ≈ 92.6. Let x be a random variable representing glucose readings taken from Gentle Ben. We may assume that x has a normal distribution, and we know from past experience that σ = 12.5. The mean glucose level for horses should be μ = 85 mg/100 ml.† Do these data indicate that Gentle Ben has an overall average glucose level higher than 85? Use α = 0.05.

(a) What is the level of significance?


State the null and alternate hypotheses. Will you use a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?

H0: μ = 85; H1: μ < 85; left-tailed

H0: μ = 85; H1: μ > 85; right-tailed   

H0: μ > 85; H1: μ = 85; right-tailed

H0: μ = 85; H1: μ ≠ 85; two-tailed


(b) What sampling distribution will you use? Explain the rationale for your choice of sampling distribution.

The standard normal, since we assume that x has a normal distribution with known σ.

The standard normal, since we assume that x has a normal distribution with unknown σ.    

The Student's t, since we assume that x has a normal distribution with known σ.

The Student's t, since n is large with unknown σ.


Compute the z value of the sample test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)


(c) Find (or estimate) the P-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level α?

At the α = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.

At the α = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.   

At the α = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.

At the α = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.


(e) State your conclusion in the context of the application.

There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that Gentle Ben's glucose is higher than 85 mg/100 ml.

There is insufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that Gentle Ben's glucose is higher than 85 mg/100 ml.    

Solutions

Expert Solution

null hypothesis:Ho μ = 85
Alternate Hypothesis:Ha μ > 85
for 0.05 level with right tail test , critical z= 1.645 (from excel:normsinv(0.05)
Decision rule:reject Ho if test statistic z>1.645

a)

level of significance =0.05

H0: μ = 85; H1: μ > 85; right-tailed  

b) The standard normal, since we assume that x has a normal distribution with known σ.

population mean μ= 85
sample mean 'x̄= 92.600
sample size    n= 8
std deviation σ= 12.50
std error ='σx=σ/√n=12.5/√8= 4.4194
z statistic= ='(x̄-μ)/σx=(92.6-85)/4.419= 1.72

c)

p value        = 0.0427 (from excel:1*normsdist(-1.72)

At the α = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.

There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 level to conclude that Gentle Ben's glucose is higher than 85 mg/100 ml.


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