In: Statistics and Probability
When two births are randomly selected, the sample space for genders is bb, bg, gb, and gg. Assume that those four outcomes are equally likely. Construct a table that describes the sampling distribution of the sample proportion of girls from two births.
Does the mean of the sample proportions equal the proportion of girls in two births?
Does the result suggest that a sample proportion is an unbiased estimator of a population proportion?
For the entire population, assume the probability of having a boy is one half , the probability of having a girl is one half , and this is not affected by how many boys or girls have previously been born.
solution:
probability of havin a boy = probability of having a girl = 1/2 = 0.5
also it is given that the four outcomes are equally likely
the sample proportion is the number of girls devided by the number of children in the sample:
the following is the table that describes the sample proportion of girls in the two births
sample | proportion of girls | probability |
bb | 0.0 | = 1/2*1/2 = 1/4 |
bg | = 1/2 = 0.5 | = 1/2*1/2 = 1/4 |
gb | = 1/2 = 0.5 | = 1/2*1/2 = 1/4 |
gg | = 2/2 = 1 | = 1/2*1/2 = 1/4 |
now the below table describe the sampling distribution for the number of girls in two births
proportion of girs(X) | P(X) |
0 | = 1/4 = 0.25 |
0.5 | = 2/4 = 0.5 |
1 | = 1/4 = 0.25 |
the population proportion is 0.5, because the probability of having a boy = girl = 0.5,so we assume the number of boys and girls in the population are equal.
mean number of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion is
E(X) = (0*0.25) + (0.5*0.5) + (1*0.25) =0.5
thus we note the population proportion and mean of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion are equal.