In: Statistics and Probability
You work for a bubble gum company testing new flavors to bring to market. Your marketing department claims in an add they made that 8 out of 10 people prefer the new flavor "Crazy-Tasks". You conducted a poll and found that 28 out of 60 people prefer the new flavor "Crazy-Tasks". Test the claim by using a confidence interval at a 95% confidence level.
Ho : p = 0.8
H1 : p ╪ 0.8
claim is involving the proportion
point estimate = p̂ = x/n = 0.467
Level of Significance, α =
0.05
Number of Items of Interest, x =
28
Sample Size, n = 60
Sample Proportion , p̂ = x/n =
0.467
z -value = Zα/2 = 1.960 [excel
formula =NORMSINV(α/2)]
Standard Error , SE = √[p̂(1-p̂)/n] =
0.0644
margin of error , E = Z*SE = 1.960
* 0.0644 = 0.1262
95% Confidence Interval is
Interval Lower Limit = p̂ - E = 0.467
- 0.1262 = 0.3404
Interval Upper Limit = p̂ + E = 0.467
+ 0.1262 = 0.5929
95% confidence interval is ( 0.340
< p < 0.593 )
0.8 does not lie in the CI , so reject Ho
................
0.467 is point estimate of test statistics
0.8 is the null nypothesis proportion
.......................
Standard Error , SE = √( p(1-p)/n ) =
0.0516
Z Test Statistic = ( p̂-p)/SE = ( 0.4667
- 0.8 ) / 0.0516
= -6.4550
critical z value = ± 1.960
[excel formula =NORMSINV(α/2)]
p-Value = 0.0000 [excel formula
=2*NORMSDIST(z)]
Decision: p-value<α , reject null hypothesis
There is enough evidence to say that proportion is not
equal to 0.8
Please revert back in case of any doubt.
Please upvote. Thanks in advance.