In: Statistics and Probability
Suppose a life insurance company sells a $220 comma 000 one-year term life insurance policy to a 23-year-old female for $190. The probability that the female survives the year is 0.999524. Compute and interpret the expected value of this policy to the insurance company. The expected value is $
P(female surviving) = 0.999524
P(female not surviving) = P(insurance company paying the insurance amount) = 1 - 0.999524
= 0.000476
Expected value of the policy to the insurance company = Income to the insurance company - Expected loss to the insurance company
= Insurance premium - Insurance amount x P(insurance company paying the insurance amount)
= 190 - 220,000x0.000476
= $85.28