In: Statistics and Probability
An insurance company charges an annual premium of $75 for a $200,000 insurance policy against a house burning down. If the (empirical) probability that a house burns down in a given year is .0003, what is the expected value of the policy to the insurance company?
Expected value of the policy to the insurance company = Annual premium - Expected amount to be paid as insurance
= 75 - Insurance amount x P(paying insurance)
= 75 - 200,000xP(a house burning down)
= 75 - 200,000 x 0.0003
= 75 - 60
= $15