In: Statistics and Probability
Question text
It has been theorized that senior citizens dream in black and white at a higher rate than the rest of the population because they were heavily exposed to black and white media in movies, television, and print. A study was conducted to determine the proportion of people who dream in black and white instead of color. Among 306 people over the age of 55, 68 dream in black and white, and among 298 people under the age of 25, 13 dream in black and white (based on data from “Do We Dream in Color?” by Eva Murzyn, Consciousness and Cognition, Vol. 17, No. 4). We want to use a 0.01 significance level to see if we can support the claim that people over 55 dream in black and white at a higher rate than people under 25.
1.Before we conduct a hypothesis test, we should check if the claim we’re testing is even plausible. What is the value of pp for people under 25, written as a decimal between 0 and 1, out to three decimal places?
2.What is the value of pp for people over 55, written as a decimal between 0 and 1, out to three decimal places?
3.What is the value of the test statistic, written to two decimal places?
1). 68 out of 306 people aged above 55 dream in black and white
Hence p1 = proportion of people aged above 55 who dream in black and white
= 68/306 = 0.2222
p1 = 0.2222
2). 13 out of 298 people under the age of 25 dream in black and white
Hence p2 = proportion of under the age of 25 who dream in black and white
= 13/298 = 0.0436
p2 = 0.0436
Since the number of people who dream in black and white is more than 10 in both the groups, we can conduct the hypothesis test
3)
n | Proportion (p) | |
above 55 years | n1 = 306 | p1 = 0.2222 |
under 25 years | n2 = 298 | p2 = 0.0436 |
The null and alternative hypotheses are
Ho : P1 = P2
Ha : P1 > P2
where P1, P2 are the population proportions of people who dream in
black and white for groups above 55 years of age and below 25 years
respectively
α =
0.01
...Level of significance
Using the given formulae, we get
Pooled Proportion
p̂ = 0.1341
Standard Error (SE)
SE = 0.0277
z-statistic
z-statistic = 6.44
P-value
For z = 6.44 we find the Greater Than p-value using z tables or
Excel function NORM.DIST
p-value = 1 - NORM.S.DIST(6.44, TRUE)
p-value = 0
Decision
0 < 0.01
that is p-value is less than alpha.
Hence we Reject Ho.
Conclusion
There exists enough statistical evidence at α = 0.01 to show that
senior citizens dream in black and white at a higher rate than the
rest of the population