In: Statistics and Probability
An insurance company is reviewing its current policy rates. When
originally setting the rates
they believed that the average claim amount was $1,800. They are
concerned that the true mean
does not equal this because they could potentially lose a lot of
money. They randomly select 40
claims, and calculate the sample mean of $1,950. Assuming that the
standard deviation of claims
follows a Normal distribution with known standard deviation $500,
perform a hypothesis testing
to see if the insurance company should be concerned.
Suppose the significance level α is set to 0.01, what is the “acceptance” region?
What is the calculated value for the Z-statistic?
Solution :
= 1800
= 1950
= 500
n = 40
This is the two tailed test .
The null and alternative hypothesis is
H0 : = 1800
Ha : 1800
Test statistic = z
= ( - ) / / n
= (1950 - 1800) /500 / 40
= 1.897
p(Z >1.897 ) = 1-P (Z <1.897 ) =0.0578
P-value = 0.0578
= 0.01
p=0.0578 ≥ 0.01
Fail to reject the null hypothesis .