Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Trevor is interested in purchasing the local hardware/sporting goods store in the small town of Dove...

Trevor is interested in purchasing the local hardware/sporting goods store in the small town of Dove Creek, Montana. After examining accounting records for the past several years, he found that the store has been grossing over $850 per day about 70% of the business days it is open. Estimate the probability that the store will gross over $850 for the following. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)

(a) at least 3 out of 5 business days

(b) at least 6 out of 10 business days

(c) fewer than 5 out of 10 business days

(d) fewer than 6 out of the next 20 business days

If the outcome described in part (d) actually occurred, might it shake your confidence in the statement p = 0.70? Might it make you suspect that p is less than 0.70? Explain.

Yes. This is unlikely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

Yes. This is likely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

No. This is unlikely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

No. This is likely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

(e) more than 17 out of the next 20 business days If the outcome described in part (e) actually occurred, might you suspect that p is greater than 0.70? Explain.

Yes. This is unlikely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

Yes. This is likely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

No. This is unlikely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

No. This is likely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a)

Let X is a random variable shows the number of days store will gross over $850 out of 5 business day.

Ḥere X has binomial distribtuion with parameters n=5 and p=0.70.

The probability that that the store will gross over $850 at least 3 out of 5 business days is

Answer: 0.837

(b)

Let X is a random variable shows the number of days store will gross over $850 out of 10 business day.

Ḥere X has binomial distribtuion with parameters n=10 and p=0.70.

The probability that that the store will gross over $850 at least 6 out of 10 business days is

Answer: 0.850

(c)

Let X is a random variable shows the number of days store will gross over $850 out of 10 business day.

Ḥere X has binomial distribtuion with parameters n=10 and p=0.70.

The probability that that the store will gross over $850 fewer than 5 out of 10 business days is

Answer: 0.047

(d)

Let X is a random variable shows the number of days store will gross over $850 out of 20 business day.

Ḥere X has binomial distribtuion with parameters n=20 and p=0.70.

The probability that that the store will gross over $850 fewer than 6 out of the next 20 business days is

Answer: 0.000

Yes. This is unlikely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.

(e)

Answer: 0.035

Yes. This is unlikely to happen if the true value of p is 0.70.


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