In: Statistics and Probability
The following table shows the prices of cars in the lineup of a certain automobile manufacturer, along with the profit resulting from the sale of each car:
Sales Price Profit ($44,000, $9,500) ($48,000, $9,600) ($54,000, $12,500) ($56,000, $12,600) ($62,000, $14,000) ($64,000,, $15,000) ($68,000, $17,000)
Mean Sales Price = $56,571 Standard Deviation Sales Price = $8,696 Mean Profit = $12,886 Standard Deviation Profit = $2,743 Correlation = .98
(a) Determine the slope of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________
(b) Determine the intercept of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________
(c) Determine the equation of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). y ^ = ________
(d) Suppose the manufacturer decides to offer a new car model that will sell for $54,000. Use the regression equation to predict the profit they will make selling this model. $ ________
(e) Calculate the residual for the model that sells for $54,000: $ __________
(f) Fill in the blanks: As the______ increases by ________, we expect the profit to ________ by_________
Here we are going to conduct linear regression. WE want to predict profit for a given value of sales. Since profit is dependent on sales, profit is the response/ dependent variable and sales predictor/ independent.
X | Y | X^2 | Y^2 | XY | |
44000 | 9500 | 1936000000 | 90250000 | 418000000 | |
48000 | 9600 | 2304000000 | 92160000 | 460800000 | |
54000 | 12500 | 2916000000 | 156250000 | 675000000 | |
56000 | 12600 | 3136000000 | 158760000 | 705600000 | |
62000 | 14000 | 3844000000 | 196000000 | 868000000 | |
64000 | 15000 | 4096000000 | 225000000 | 960000000 | |
68000 | 17000 | 4624000000 | 289000000 | 1156000000 | |
Total | 396000 | 90200 | 2.2856E+10 | 1207420000 | 5243400000 |
Mean | 56571.43 | 12885.71 | |||
SD | 8695.921 | 2742.522 |
Mean =
SD =
The answer may vary a liitle due to rounding off
Regression
eq of Y on X
(a) Determine the slope of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________
Where Slope 'b' =
Subsituting the values
Slope = 0.3100
(b) Determine the intercept of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________
Intercept 'a' =
Subsituting the values
intercept = -4652.14
(c) Determine the equation of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal).
(d) Suppose the manufacturer decides to offer a new car model that will sell for $54,000. Use the regression equation to predict the profit they will make selling this model. $ ________
To find the predicted profit we subsitute the sales value in the reg equation
=-4652.14+0.31x
=-4652.14+0.31 * 54000
= 12088.54
(e) Calculate the residual for the model that sells for $54,000: $ __________
Residual = Actual - predicted
Actual profit for sales 54000 = 12500 .............(from the table)
=12500 - 12088.54
Residual = 411.461
The coeffcient of 'x' in the regression equation is slope. It tells the magnitude and direction of change in 'y' due to unit change in 'x'.
Here slope is positive so the change will be in same direction.
(f) Fill in the blanks: As the sales increases by 1 unit (probably 1000), we expect the profit to increase by 0.31 units.(probably 0.31*1000)