Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The following table shows the prices of cars in the lineup of a certain automobile manufacturer,...

The following table shows the prices of cars in the lineup of a certain automobile manufacturer, along with the profit resulting from the sale of each car:

Sales Price Profit ($44,000, $9,500) ($48,000, $9,600) ($54,000, $12,500) ($56,000, $12,600) ($62,000, $14,000) ($64,000,, $15,000) ($68,000, $17,000)

Mean Sales Price = $56,571 Standard Deviation Sales Price = $8,696 Mean Profit = $12,886 Standard Deviation Profit = $2,743 Correlation = .98

(a) Determine the slope of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________

(b) Determine the intercept of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________

(c) Determine the equation of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). y ^ = ________

(d) Suppose the manufacturer decides to offer a new car model that will sell for $54,000. Use the regression equation to predict the profit they will make selling this model. $ ________

(e) Calculate the residual for the model that sells for $54,000: $ __________

(f) Fill in the blanks: As the______ increases by ________, we expect the profit to ________ by_________

Solutions

Expert Solution

Here we are going to conduct linear regression. WE want to predict profit for a given value of sales. Since profit is dependent on sales, profit is the response/ dependent variable and sales predictor/ independent.

X Y X^2 Y^2 XY
44000 9500 1936000000 90250000 418000000
48000 9600 2304000000 92160000 460800000
54000 12500 2916000000 156250000 675000000
56000 12600 3136000000 158760000 705600000
62000 14000 3844000000 196000000 868000000
64000 15000 4096000000 225000000 960000000
68000 17000 4624000000 289000000 1156000000
Total 396000 90200 2.2856E+10 1207420000 5243400000
Mean 56571.43 12885.71
SD 8695.921 2742.522

Mean =

SD =   

The answer may vary a liitle due to rounding off


Regression eq of Y on X

(a) Determine the slope of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________

Where Slope   'b' =   

Subsituting the values

Slope = 0.3100

(b) Determine the intercept of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal). _________

Intercept 'a' =

Subsituting the values

intercept = -4652.14

(c) Determine the equation of the least square regression line that predicts the profit from the sales price (round two places after the decimal).

(d) Suppose the manufacturer decides to offer a new car model that will sell for $54,000. Use the regression equation to predict the profit they will make selling this model. $ ________

To find the predicted profit we subsitute the sales value in the reg equation

=-4652.14+0.31x

=-4652.14+0.31 * 54000

= 12088.54

(e) Calculate the residual for the model that sells for $54,000: $ __________

Residual = Actual - predicted

Actual profit for sales 54000 = 12500 .............(from the table)

=12500 - 12088.54

Residual = 411.461

The coeffcient of 'x' in the regression equation is slope. It tells the magnitude and direction of change in 'y' due to unit change in 'x'.

Here slope is positive so the change will be in same direction.

(f) Fill in the blanks: As the sales increases by 1 unit (probably 1000), we expect the profit to increase by 0.31 units.(probably 0.31*1000)


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