In: Accounting
If it is managed efficiently, Remel, Inc., will have assets with a market value of $ 50.4 million, $ 100.9 million, or $ 150.8 million next year, with each outcome being equally likely. However, managers may engage in wasteful empire building, which will reduce the market value by $ 5.1 million in all cases. Managers may also increase the risk of the firm, changing the probability of each outcome to 47 %, 12 %, and 41 %, respectively. a. What is the expected value of Remel's assets if it is run efficiently? Suppose managers will engage in empire building unless that behavior increases the likelihood of bankruptcy. They will choose the risk of the firm to maximize the expected payoff to equity holders. b. Suppose Remel has debt due in one year as shown below. For each case, indicate whether managers will engage in empire-building, and whether they will increase risk. What is the expected value of Remel's assets in each case? i. $40.1 million, ii. $47.4 million, iii. $88.8 million, iv. $96.2 million. c. Suppose the tax savings from the debt, after including investor taxes, is equal to 11 % of the expected payoff of the debt. The proceeds from the debt, as well as the value of any tax savings, will be paid out to shareholders immediately as a dividend when the debt is issued. What is the expected value of Remel's assets, including the tax savings, for each debt level in part (b)? Which debt level in part (b) is optimal for Remel?
ANSWER (A)
EXPECTED PAY OFF 1/3(50.4)+1/3(100.9)+1/3(150.8)=100.7
ANSWER (B)
EXPECTED PAYOFF IF MANGERS WILL MAKE EMPIRE BUIDING
EXPECTED VALUE OF ASSETS : 1/3(50.4-5.1)+ 1/3(100.9-5.1) +1/3(150.8-5.1) = 1/3(186.8)=95.6
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (i) WHEN DEBT IS 40.1
=95.6-40.1=45.5
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (ii) WHEN DEBT IS 47.4
=95.6-47.4=58.2
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (iii) WHEN DEBT IS 88.8
=95.6-88.8=6.8
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (iv) WHEN DEBT IS 40.1
=95.6-96.2=-0.6
CONCLUSION : IN CASE (iv) MANAGER WILL NOT ENGAGE IN EMPIRE BUILDING SINCE THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF BANKRUT
EXPECTED PAYOFF IF MANGERS WILL CHOOSE THE RISKF
EXPECTED VALUE OF ASSETS : 47%(50.4)+ 12%(100.9) +41%(150.8) = 97.624
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (i) WHEN DEBT IS 40.1
=97.624-40.1=57.524
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (ii) WHEN DEBT IS 47.4
=97.624-47.4=50.224
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (iii) WHEN DEBT IS 88.8
=97.624-88.8=8.824
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS IN CASE (iv) WHEN DEBT IS 40.1
=97.624-96.2=1.424
SO ANSWERS ARE 57.524,50.224,8.824,1.424
ANSWER (C)
EXPECTED VALUE OF NET ASSETS AFTER TAX SAVING ON DEBTS
IF MANGERS WILL MAKE EMPIRE BUIDING
CASE (i)
45.5+11%(40.1)=45.5+4.411=49.911
CASE (ii)
58.2+11%(47.4)=58.2+5.214=63.414
CASE (iii)
6.8+11%(88.8)=6.8+9.768=16.568
CASE (iv)
-0.6+11%(96.2)=-0.6+10.582=4.582
SO ANSWERS ARE 49.911,63.414,16.568,4.582
IF MANGERS WILL CHOOSE RISK
CASE (i)
57.524+11%(40.1)= 57.524+4.411=61.935
CASE (ii)
50.224+11%(47.4)= 50.224+5.214=55.438
CASE (iii)
8.824+11%(88.8)= 8.824+9.768=18.592
CASE (iv)
1.424+11%(96.2)= 1.424+10.582=12.006
SO ANSWERS ARE 61.935,55.438,18.592,12.006