In: Statistics and Probability
A highway department executive claims that the number of fatal accidents which occur in her state does not vary from month to month. The results of a study of 109109 fatal accidents were recorded. Is there enough evidence to reject the highway department executive's claim about the distribution of fatal accidents between each month?
Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fatal Accidents | 88 | 77 | 66 | 66 | 88 | 1010 | 66 | 1818 | 1111 | 66 | 66 | 1717 |
Step 1 of 10: State the null and alternative hypothesis.
H0: number or fatal accidents does not vary from month to month Ha:
number or fatal accidents does vary from month to month
OR
H0:number or fatal accidents does vary from month to month,
Ha:number or fatal accidents does not vary from month to month
Step 2 of 10: What does the null hypothesis indicate about the
proportions of fatal accidents during each month?
Proportions of fatal accidents during each month are all thought to
be equal
OR
Proportions of fatal accidents during each month are different for
each category (and equal to previously accepted values)
Step 3 of 10: State the null and alternative hypothesis in terms
of the expected proportions for each category.
H0: Pi= _______ Ha: there is some difference amongst the
proportions
Step 4 of 10: Find the expected value for the number of fatal accidents that occurred in January. Round your answer to two decimal places.
Step 5 of 10: Find the expected value for the number of fatal accidents that occurred in September. Round your answer to two decimal places.
Step 6 of 10: Find the value of the test statistic. Round your answer to three decimal places.
Step 7 of 10: Find the degrees of freedom associated with the test statistic for this problem.
Step 8 of 10: Find the critical value of the test at the 0.10.1 level of significance. Round your answer to three decimal places.
Step 9 of 10: Make the decision to reject or fail to reject the
null hypothesis at the 0.10.1 level of significance.
Fail to reject null hypothesis OR Reject null hypothesis
Step 10 of 10: State the conclusion of the hypothesis test at
the 0.10.1 level of significance.
There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the number of
fatal accidents does not vary from month to month OR there is
enough evidence to reject the claim that the number of fatal
accidents does NOT vary from month to month
applying chi square goodness of fit test: |
relative | observed | Expected | residual | Chi square | |
category | frequency(p) | Oi | Ei=total*p | R2i=(Oi-Ei)/√Ei | R2i=(Oi-Ei)2/Ei |
Jan | 1/12 | 8 | 9.08 | -0.36 | 0.129 |
Feb | 1/12 | 7 | 9.08 | -0.69 | 0.478 |
Mar | 1/12 | 6 | 9.08 | -1.02 | 1.047 |
Apr | 1/12 | 6 | 9.08 | -1.02 | 1.047 |
May | 1/12 | 8 | 9.08 | -0.36 | 0.129 |
Jun | 1/12 | 10 | 9.08 | 0.30 | 0.093 |
Jul | 1/12 | 6 | 9.08 | -1.02 | 1.047 |
Aug | 1/12 | 18 | 9.08 | 2.96 | 8.753 |
Sep | 1/12 | 11 | 9.08 | 0.64 | 0.404 |
Oct | 1/12 | 6 | 9.08 | -1.02 | 1.047 |
Nov | 1/12 | 6 | 9.08 | -1.02 | 1.047 |
Dec | 1/12 | 17 | 9.08 | 2.63 | 6.900 |
total | 1.000 | 109 | 109 | 22.1193 | |
test statistic X2 = | 22.119 |
step 1:
H0: number or fatal accidents does not vary from month to month Ha: number or fatal accidents does vary from month to month
step 2:
Proportions of fatal accidents during each month are all thought to be equal
step 3:
H0: Pi =1/12
step 4:
expected value =9.08
Step 5 of 10
expected value =9.08
step 6:
test statistic X2 = | 22.119 |
step 7:
degree of freedom =categories-1= | 11 |
step 8:
for 0.1 level and 11 df :crtiical value X2 = | 17.275 |
step 9:
reject the null hypothesis
step 10)
there is enough evidence to reject the claim that the number of fatal accidents does NOT vary from month to month