In: Statistics and Probability
a highway department executive claims that the number of fatal accidents which occur in her state does not vary from month to month. the results of a study of 180 fatal accidents were recorded. is there enough evidence to reject the highway department executives claim about the distribution of fatal accidents between each month?
Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
Fatal Accidents | 11 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 16 | 25 |
Step 1: state the null and alternative null hypothesis
Step 2: What does the null hypothesis indicate about the proportions of fatal accidents during each month
Step 3: State the null and alternative hypothesis in terms of the expected proportions of each category
Ho:pi=
Step 4: Find the expected value for the number of fatal accidents that occurred in January. round to two decimal places
Step 5: FInd the expected value for the number of fatal accidents that occurred in November. round to two decimal places
Step 6: find the value of the test statistic. round to three decimal places.
Step 7: Find the degree of freedom adssociated with the test statiscctic for this problem
Step 8: Find the critical value of the test at the 0.025 level of significance. round to three decimal places.
Step 9: Make the decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis at the 0.025 level of significance
Step 10: State the conclusion of the hypothesis test at the 0.025 level of significance.
There is or is not enough evidence to reject the claim the number of fatall accidents from month to month
step 1:)
Null hypothesis:Ho: Number of accidents are uniformly distributed across months
Alternate hypothesis: Ho: Number of accidents are not uniformly distributed across months
step 2: null hypothesis indicate that proportion of fatal accidents are equal in each month
step 3 Ho: pi=1/12
step 4: expected value for the number of fatal accidents that occurred in January =np=180*1/12
=15
step 5: expected value for the number of fatal accidents that occurred in November.
=180*1/12 =15
Step 6:
applying chi square goodness of fit test: |
relative | observed | Expected | residual | Chi square | |
category | frequency(p) | Oi | Ei=total*p | R2i=(Oi-Ei)/√Ei | R2i=(Oi-Ei)2/Ei |
Jan | 1/12 | 11.000 | 15.000 | -1.03 | 1.067 |
Feb | 1/12 | 13.000 | 15.000 | -0.52 | 0.267 |
Mar | 1/12 | 14.000 | 15.000 | -0.26 | 0.067 |
Apr | 1/12 | 9.000 | 15.000 | -1.55 | 2.400 |
May | 1/12 | 18.000 | 15.000 | 0.77 | 0.600 |
Jun | 1/12 | 14.000 | 15.000 | -0.26 | 0.067 |
Jul | 1/12 | 11.000 | 15.000 | -1.03 | 1.067 |
Aug | 1/12 | 11.000 | 15.000 | -1.03 | 1.067 |
Sep | 1/12 | 16.000 | 15.000 | 0.26 | 0.067 |
Oct | 1/12 | 22.000 | 15.000 | 1.81 | 3.267 |
Nov | 1/12 | 16.000 | 15.000 | 0.26 | 0.067 |
Dec | 1/12 | 25.000 | 15.000 | 2.58 | 6.667 |
total | 1.000 | 180 | 180 | 16.6667 | |
test statistic X2 = | 16.667 |
Step 7
degree of freedom =categories-1= | 11 |
step 8:
for 0.025 level and 11 df :crtiical value X2 = | 21.920 |
Step 9: fail to reject the null hypothesis
step 10: There is not enough evidence to reject the claim the number of fatall accidents from month to month