Question

In: Economics

A company has invested $10 million to construct a food irradiation plant with technology to destroy...

A company has invested $10 million to construct a food irradiation plant with technology to destroy organisms that cause spoilage and disease, thus extending the shelf life of the fresh produce and distances over which they can be shipped. The expected operating and maintenance costs (after taxes) would be $4 million at year 1 and increase by 2% each year. The plant is expected to have a useful life of 20 years. If the company's annual benefits (after taxes) are estimated to be $6 million after year 1 and increase by $100,000 each year, find the discounted payback period. The company's interest rate is 12%. (Provide excel spreadsheets for all problems)

Payback Period (Round to an integer):_______

Sketch of cash flow diagram:

Solutions

Expert Solution

Annual net benefit (NAB) = Annual benefit - Annual O&M costs

In year 0, NAB = - $10 million

Year Benefit ($) Cost ($) NAB ($) PV Factor @12% Discounted NAB ($) Cumulative discounted NAB ($)
0 -100,00,000 -100,00,000 1.0000 -100,00,000 -100,00,000
1 60,00,000 40,00,000 20,00,000 0.8929 17,85,714 -82,14,286
2 61,00,000 40,80,000 20,20,000 0.7972 16,10,332 -66,03,954
3 62,00,000 41,61,600 20,38,400 0.7118 14,50,893 -51,53,061
4 63,00,000 42,44,832 20,55,168 0.6355 13,06,096 -38,46,965
5 64,00,000 43,29,729 20,70,271 0.5674 11,74,728 -26,72,237
6 65,00,000 44,16,323 20,83,677 0.5066 10,55,656 -16,16,582
7 66,00,000 45,04,650 20,95,350 0.4523 9,47,830 -6,68,752
8 67,00,000 45,94,743 21,05,257 0.4039 8,50,278 1,81,526
9 68,00,000 46,86,638 21,13,362 0.3606 7,62,100 9,43,626
10 69,00,000 47,80,370 21,19,630 0.3220 6,82,464 16,26,090
11 70,00,000 48,75,978 21,24,022 0.2875 6,10,606 22,36,696
12 71,00,000 49,73,497 21,26,503 0.2567 5,45,820 27,82,516
13 72,00,000 50,72,967 21,27,033 0.2292 4,87,461 32,69,977
14 73,00,000 51,74,427 21,25,573 0.2046 4,34,934 37,04,912
15 74,00,000 52,77,915 21,22,085 0.1827 3,87,697 40,92,609
16 75,00,000 53,83,473 21,16,527 0.1631 3,45,251 44,37,860
17 76,00,000 54,91,143 21,08,857 0.1456 3,07,143 47,45,003
18 77,00,000 56,00,966 20,99,034 0.1300 2,72,958 50,17,961
19 78,00,000 57,12,985 20,87,015 0.1161 2,42,317 52,60,277
20 79,00,000 58,27,245 20,72,755 0.1037 2,14,876 54,75,153

Discounted payback period (DPBP) is the time by when cumulative discounted NAB is zero.

DPBP lies between years 7 and 8. Therefore

DPBP = 7 + (Absolute value of cumulative discounted NAB in year 7 / Discounted NAB in year 8)

= 7 + (668,752/ 850,278) = 7 + 0.79 = 7.79 years

DPBP = 8 years

Cash flow diagram as follows (Values in $Million).


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