In: Economics
Suppose you can buy a new car for $15,000 and sell it for $6,000 after six years. Or, you can lease the car to $300 per month for three years and return it at the end of the three years. Assume that lease payments are made yearly instead of monthly (i.e., are $3,600 per year for each of the three years).
a.) If the interest rate, r, is 4 percent, should you lease or buy?
b.) What if the interest rate is 12 percent?
c.) At what interest rate would you be indifferent between buying and leasing the car?
a) Following excel may be obtained:
time, t | Discount factor @4% | Cashflows if car is bought | Present Value | Cashflows if leased | Present Value |
0 | 1 | -15000 | -15000 | ||
1 | 1.04 | -3600 | -3461.54 | ||
2 | 1.0816 | -3600 | -3328.4 | ||
3 | 1.124864 | -3600 | -3200.39 | ||
4 | 1.16985856 | ||||
5 | 1.216652902 | ||||
6 | 1.265319018 | 6000 | 4741.887 | ||
Total Cost | -10258.1 | -9990.33 |
Clearly, price of car comes out to be lower if leased, we should lease it.
b) Following excel is obtained at 12% interest rate
time, t | Discount factor @12% | Cashflows if car is bought | Present Value | Cashflows if leased | Present Value |
0 | 1 | -15000 | -15000 | ||
1 | 1.12 | -3600 | -3214.29 | ||
2 | 1.2544 | -3600 | -2869.9 | ||
3 | 1.404928 | -3600 | -2562.41 | ||
4 | 1.57351936 | ||||
5 | 1.762341683 | ||||
6 | 1.973822685 | 6000 | 3039.787 | ||
Total Cost | -11960.2 | -8646.59 |
Here too, price is lower if car is leased.
c) For indifference, price of buying = price of leasing
Hence, 15000 - 6000 / (1+r)6 = 3600 / (1+r) + 3600 / (1+r)2 + 3600 / (1+r)3
We solve for r by hit and trial method, to get
r = 4.31%