In: Finance
A 5% 20-year semi-annual bond offers an YTM of 5%. If the market interest rate will increase to 6.5% in one year (there will 19 years left to maturity then), what is the change in price that the bond will experience in dollars during the next year?
We will calculate bond price today, then one year after when the interest rate has increased to measure the price changes.
Bond price when YTM is 5%
Price of the bond could be calculated using below formula.
P = C/ 2 [1 - {(1 + YTM/2) ^2*n}/ (YTM/2)] + [F/ (1 + YTM/2) ^2*n]
Where,
Face value (F) = $1000
Coupon rate = 5%
YTM or Required rate = 5%
Time to maturity (n) = 20 years
Annual coupon C = $50
Let's put all the values in the formula to find the bond current value
P = 50/ 2 [{1 - (1 + 0.05/2) ^-2*20}/ (0.05/ 2)] + [1000/ (1 + 0.05/2) ^2*20]
= 25 [{1 - (1 + 0.025) ^ -40}/ (0.025)] + [1000/ (1 + 0.025) ^40]
= 25 [{1 - (1.025) ^ -40}/ (0.025)] + [1000/ (1.025) ^40]
= 25 [{1 - 0.37243}/ (0.025)] + [1000/ 2.68506]
= 25 [0.62757/ 0.025] + [372.43116]
= 25 [25.1028] + [372.43116]
= 627.57 + 372.43116
= 1000.00116
So price of the bond is $1000
Bond price when YTM is 6.5%
Face value (F) = $1000
Coupon rate = 5%
YTM or Required rate = 6.5%
Time to maturity (n) = 20 years
Annual coupon C = $50
Let's put all the values in the formula to find the bond current value
P = 50/ 2 [{1 - (1 + 0.065/2) ^-2*20}/ (0.065/ 2)] + [1000/ (1 + 0.065/2) ^2*20]
= 25 [{1 - (1 + 0.0325) ^ -40}/ (0.0325)] + [1000/ (1 + 0.0325) ^40]
= 25 [{1 - (1.0325) ^ -40}/ (0.0325)] + [1000/ (1.0325) ^40]
= 25 [{1 - 0.27823}/ (0.0325)] + [1000/ 3.5942]
= 25 [0.72177/ 0.0325] + [278.22603]
= 25 [22.20831] + [278.22603]
= 555.20775 + 278.22603
= 833.43378
So price of the bond is $833.43
$ Change in price of the bond = 1000 – 833.43 = 166.57
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