In: Statistics and Probability
|
A sales manager collected the following data on annual sales for new customer accounts and the number of years of experience for a sample of salespersons.
The data on annual sales for new customer accounts and number of years of experience for a sample of salespersons provided the estimated regression equation . For these data , , and . a. Develop the confidence interval for the mean annual sales for all salespersons with seven years of experience. ( , ) (to 2 decimals) b. The company is considering hiring Tom Smart, a salesperson with seven years of experience. Develop a prediction interval of annual sales for Tom Smart. ( , ) (to 2 decimals) c. Discuss the differences in your answers to parts (a) and (b). As expected, the prediction interval is much - Select your answer -widernarrowItem 5 than the confidence interval. This is due to the fact that it is more - Select your answer -difficulteasyItem 6 to predict annual sales for one new salesperson with 7 years of experience than it is to estimate the mean annual sales for all salespersons with 7 years of experience. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
a)
Answer:

Explanation:
To calculate the confidence interval, the regression analysis is done in excel by following these steps,
Step 1: Write the data values in excel. The screenshot is shown below,

Step 2: DATA > Data Analysis > Regression > OK. The screenshot is shown below,

Step 3: Select Input Y Range: 'Y' column, Input X Range: 'X' column then OK. The screenshot is shown below,

The result is obtained. The screenshot is shown below,

The regression equation is,

The standard error of the regression is,

For X = 7,

Now, the confidence interval for the predicted value for x = 7 is obtained using the formula

From the data values,
| x | x^2 | |
| 1 | 1 | |
| 3 | 9 | |
| 4 | 16 | |
| 6 | 36 | |
| 8 | 64 | |
| 8 | 64 | |
| 9 | 81 | |
| 9 | 81 | |
| 10 | 100 | |
| 11 | 121 | |
| Sum | 69 | 573 |

The t-critical value is obtained from t-distribution table for significance level = 0.05 and degree of freedom = n - 2 = 8


b)
Answer:

Explanation:
The prediction interval for the predicted value for x = 7 is obtained using the formula,



c)
Answer:
As expected, the prediction interval is much wider than the confidence interval. This is due to the fact that it is more difficult to predict annual sales for one new salesperson with 7 years of experience than it is to estimate the mean annual sales for all salespersons with 7 years of experience
Explanation:
The prediction interval is always wider than the confidence interval as the prediction interval predict the value for the next expected value.