In: Finance
The SP500 index was at 2677 on April. The same day, the options on the SP500 expiring in July with exercise price of 2680 were at 84.6 (Call) and 76.5 (Put). If the SP500 reaches a 2690 in a month (May), calculate the new pricw of the SP500 options maturing in July. Also, calculate the return for holding options alone and compare it with the return on the SP500. Use Black Scholes to calculate the price.
Things to know:
Use 1.69 for STD of SP500
Use 9.5% for the rate
interest rate= risk free rate, usually given in months
Ans: SP500 index was at 2677 on April and same day the options on the SP500 expiring in July with exercise price of 2680 were at 84.6 (Call) and 76.5 put.
Here, Spot price (S) = 2677
Strike Price (K) = 2680
Call = 84.6
Put = 76.5
Risk free rate (r) = 9.5%
Time (T)= July - April = 3 months
By putting all in the calculating Call : C = S*N(d1) - Ke^(-r*T)*N(d2)
84.6 = 2677 * N(d1) - 2680* e^(-0.095*3/12)*N(d2)
84.6 = 2777* N(d1) - 2680*0.976 * N(d2)
=> 84.6 = 2777*N(d1) - 2617.11*N(d2)
=> 2617.11*N(d2) = 2777*N(d1) - 84.6
By putting all values in Put formula; P = Ke^(-r*T)*N(-d2) - S*N(-d1)
76.5 = 2680*e^(-0.095*3/12)*N(-d2) - 2677*N(-d1)
=> 76.5 = 2617.11*N(-d2) - 2677 * N(-d1)
=> 76.5 = 2617.11*(1-N(d2)) - 2677*(1-N(d1))
=> 76.5 = 2617.11 - 2617.11 * N(d2) - 2677 - 2677*N(d1)
=> 76.5 = -59.89 - 2617.11*N(d2) - 2677*N(d1)
=> 76.5+59.89 = - 2617.11*N(d2) - 2677*N(d1)
=> 136.39 = - 2617.11*N(d2) - 2677*N(d1)
Equating both the equation we can find;
136.39 = 2777*N(d1) - 84.6-2677*N(d1)
=> 136.39 + 84.6 = 100*N(d1)
=> 220.99/100 = N(d1)
=> N(d1) = 2.2
By putting value of N(d1), we can find N(d2)
=> 2617.11*N(d2) = 2711* N(d1) - 84.6
=>N(d2) = [(2711*2.2) - 84.6]/2617.11 = 2.24
Now In May, the new spot price is (S) = 2690
And Time (T) = July - May = 2 months
Call (C) = S*N(d1) - Ke^(-r*T)*N(d2)
= 2690 * 2.2 - 2680 * 2.71^(-0.0158)*2.24
= 5918 - 5909.18
= 8.81
Put (P) = Ke^(-r*T)*N(-d2) - S*N(-d1)
= 2680 * 0.984* (1-N(d2)) - 2690 * (1-N(d1))
= 2680 * 0.984* (1-2.24) - 2690 * (1-2.2)
= -3270.03 - (-3228)
= 42.08