In: Economics
Components of a general multiple linear regression model
Y = XB + U
Y is the vector of dependent variable of order n×1
X is the matrix of independent variable of order n×k
B is the vector of OLS cofficients of order k × 1
U is the vector of residuals of order n × 1
n is the number of observations, k is the total number of independent variables
DEGREE OF FREEDOM FOR REGRESSION
= k-1, in a model with k-1 explantory variables
TO TEST OVERALL SIGNIFICANCE OF REGRESSION
F test should be used, F = MSR/MSE, where MSR = mean regression sum of squares, MSE = mean error sum of square
TO TEST INDIVIDUAL SIGNIFICANCE OF INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
T - test, T = B^/s.e(B^), where B^ is the estimated cofficient and s.e is the standard error of the corresponding cofficient
ASSUMPTIONS OF A MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION
1. Matrix of X should be non-stochastic
2. E(U/X) = 0, conditional expectation of U given X, is 0.
3. No perfect multicollinearity among covariates,i.e Rank(X) = k
3. No autocorrelation Cov(U,X) = 0
4. Hetroskadasticity, Variance(U) = constant
IF P VALUE IS LESS THAN 0.05
we should keep that variable, as it is statistically significant at 5% level of significance.
COFFICIENT OF DETERMINATION
R² =[ SSE/(n-k+1)] / [TSS/n-1]
and SSE = TSS - SSR = 166 - 119 = 47
R² = (47/25-5+1) /(166/25-1) = 0.32