In: Statistics and Probability
In a survey of 3450 registered voters who reside in California, 1789 were found to be republican. Construct a confidence estimate for the true percentage of republicans among registered voters in California. Use a confidence level of 95%. Show your work.
Find the sample size needed to estimate the percentage of republicans among registered voters in California. Use a 0.03 margin of error; use a confidence level of 90%
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n = Total number of voters = 3450
x = Number of voters found to be republican = 1789
(Round to 4 decimal)
Confidence level = c = 0.95
95% confidence interval is
Where zc is z critical for (1+c) /2 = (1+0.95) /2 = 0.975
zc = 1.96 (From statistical table of z values)
0.5019 < p < 0.5353 (Round to 4 decimal)
50.19% < p < 53.53%
95% confidence estimate for the true percentage of republicans among registered voters in California is (50.19%,53.53%)
Margin of error = e = 0.03
confidence level = c = 0.90
z critical for (1+c) /2 = (1+0.90)/2 = 0.95
zc = 1.645 (From statistical table of z values, average of 1.64 and 1.65)
n = 0.249654 * 3006.694
n = 750.6334
n ~ 751
Sample size needed to estimate the percentage of republicans among registered voters in California is 751.