In: Statistics and Probability
A comparison is made between two bus lines to determine if
arrival times of their regular buses from Denver to Durango are off
schedule by the same amount of time. For 51 randomly selected runs,
bus line A was observed to be off schedule an average time of 53
minutes, with standard deviation 19 minutes. For 60 randomly
selected runs, bus line B was observed to be off schedule an
average of 61 minutes, with standard deviation 13 minutes. Do the
data indicate a significant difference in average off-schedule
times? Use a 5% level of significance.
What are we testing in this problem?
paired differencedifference of means single meandifference of proportionssingle proportion
What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
H0: μ1 ≤ μ2; H1: μ1 > μ2H0: μ1 ≠ μ2; H1: μ1 = μ2 H0: μ1 ≥ μ2; H1: μ1 < μ2H0: μ1 = μ2; H1: μ1 ≠ μ2
What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are you
making?
The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown population standard deviations.The standard normal. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown population standard deviations. The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with known population standard deviations.The standard normal. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with known population standard deviations.
What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Test the
difference μ1 − μ2. Round
your answer to three decimal places.)
Estimate the P-value.
P-value > 0.5000.250 < P-value < 0.500 0.100 < P-value < 0.2500.050 < P-value < 0.1000.010 < P-value < 0.050P-value < 0.010
Sketch the sampling distribution and show the area corresponding to
the P-value.
Will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data
statistically significant at level α?
At the α = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the α = 0.05 level, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant. At the α = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are statistically significant.At the α = 0.05 level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude the data are not statistically significant.
Interpret your conclusion in the context of the application.
There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 to conclude that there is a difference in average off schedule times.There is insufficient evidence at the 0.05 to conclude that there is a difference in average off schedule times.
difference of means test
...............
H0: μ1 = μ2
H1: μ1 ≠ μ2
....................
The Student's t. We assume that both population distributions are approximately normal with unknown population standard deviations
.............
Sample #1 ----> sample 1
mean of sample 1, x̅1= 53.00
standard deviation of sample 1, s1 =
19.00
size of sample 1, n1= 51
Sample #2 ----> sample 2
mean of sample 2, x̅2= 61.00
standard deviation of sample 2, s2 =
13.00
size of sample 2, n2= 60
difference in sample means = x̅1-x̅2 =
53.0000 - 61.0 =
-8.00
pooled std dev , Sp= √([(n1 - 1)s1² + (n2 -
1)s2²]/(n1+n2-2)) = 16.0335
std error , SE = Sp*√(1/n1+1/n2) =
3.0537
t-statistic = ((x̅1-x̅2)-µd)/SE = (
-8.0000 - 0 ) /
3.05 = -2.620
...................
Degree of freedom, DF= n1+n2-2 =
109
p-value = 0.010053
(excel function: =T.DIST.2T(t stat,df) )
Conclusion: p-value <α , Reject null
hypothesis
...................
There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 to conclude that there is a difference in average off schedule times
...........................
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