Question

In: Economics

In an excel spreadsheet, calculate the real interest rate over the past 24 months (using monthly...

In an excel spreadsheet, calculate the real interest rate over the past 24 months (using monthly data) for the 30 year Treasury bond rate as the nominal interest rate and assuming that expected inflation was equal to actual inflation (based on the change in CPI). Make sure to include the Fisher Equation.

Solutions

Expert Solution

The Fisher Effect states that the real interest rate equals the nominal interest rate minus the expected inflation rate. Therefore, real interest rates fall as inflation increases, unless nominal rates increase at the same rate as inflation.

Sno month 30 year treasury bind rate (nominal interest rate) percentage change in CPI (inflation ) real interest rate
1 June,2018 2.983 2.9 0.083
2 July,2018 3.083 2.9 0.183
3 August,2018 3.01 2.7 0.31
4 September,2018 3.197 2.5 0.697
5 October,2018 3.402 2.3 1.102
6 November,2018 3.311 2.2 1.111
7 December,2018 3.02 1.9 1.12
8 January,2019 3.005 1.6 1.405
9 February,2019 3.083 1.5 1.583
10 March,2019 2.822 1.9 0.922
11 April,2019 2.94 2 0.94
12 May,2019 2.583 1.8 0.783
13 June,2019 2.528 1.6 0.928
14 July,2019 2.527 1.8 0.727
15 August,2019 1.97 1.7 0.27
16 September,2019 2.121 1.7 0.421
17 October,2019 2.176 1.8 0.376
18 November,2019 2.202 2.1 0.102
19 December,2019 2.389 2.3 0.089
20 January,2020 2.015 2.5 -0.485
21 February,2020 1.671 2.3 -0.629
22 March,2020 1.351 1.5 -0.149
23 April,2020 1.266 0.3 0.966
24 May,2020 1.407 0.1 1.307
25 June,2020 1.409 0.6 0.809

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