Question

Three-circle, red-on-white is one distinctive pattern painted on ceramic vessels of the Anasazi period found at an archaeological site. At one excavation, a sample of 179 potsherds indicated that 70 were of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern.

(a) Find a point estimate p̂ for the proportion of all ceramic potsherds at this site that are of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(b) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p of all ceramic potsherds with this distinctive pattern found at the site. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)

lower limit
upper limit

Answer 1

Solution :

Given that,

n = 179

x = 70

Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n =70/179=0.3911

1 -   = 1-0.3911 =0.6089

At 95% confidence level the z is ,

= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05

/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025

Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96   ( Using z table )

Margin of error = E = Z / 2    * ((( * (1 - )) / n)

= 1.96 (((0.3911*0.6089) / 179)

= 0.071

A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,

- E < p < + E

0.3911-0.071 < p < 0.3911+0.071

0.320< p < 0.462

The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : lower limit=0.320 ,upper limit=0.462