In: Statistics and Probability
Three-circle, red-on-white is one distinctive pattern painted on ceramic vessels of the Anasazi period found at an archaeological site. At one excavation, a sample of 175 potsherds indicated that 66 were of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern.
(a) Find a point estimate p̂ for the proportion of all ceramic potsherds at this site that are of the three-circle, red-on-white pattern. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(b) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p of all ceramic potsherds with this distinctive pattern found at the site. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
Upper Limit:
Lower Limit:
Solution :
Given that,
n = 175
x = 66
= x / n = 66 / 175 = 0.377
1 - = 1 - 0.377 = 0.623
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.377 * 0.623) / 175)
= 0..072
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.377 - 0.072 < p < 0.377 + 0.072
0.305 < p < 0.449
Lower limit = 0.305
Uppetr limit = 0.449