In: Statistics and Probability
Given the following Regression from an applied research which has three main variables DLRGDP –DRT-Trend interpret these results in an economic vision ( the tested variables significance , the model significance , the model Strength , the difference between R2 and ANOVA test , the relation between T-test and Probability )
ANSWER:
The variable DLRGDP is positively related with the dependent variable. When DLRGDP increases by 1 unit, the dependent variable increases by, on an average, by approximately 0.138 units. It is statistically significant at 5% significance level since the p-value ( = 0.0307) is less than 5% level of significance.
DRT variable is negatively related with the dependent variable. But this variable is not statistically significant as the p-value of 0.7915 is very high.
The TREND variable is also negatively related with the dependent variable and it is statistically significant at 5% signficance level.
The F-statistic of the overall model is 3.742232 and its probability value of 0.014556 is low. Hence, the model is overall significant.
The model's strength is estimated by the R2 as it denotes the percentage of variation in the dependent variable explained by the explanatory variables in the model. The R2 for this model is 13.02%.
An ANOVA test helps in finding out if an experiment's results is statistically significant or not. Basically, we test groups to see if there's any statistical difference between them. The R2 on the other hand gives the total strength of the model and denotes the goodness of fit of the model.
The t-test gives the value of the t-statistic for a hypothesis testing. Hypothesis tests work by taking the observed test statistic from a sample and using the sampling distribution to calculate the probability of obtaining that test statistic if the null hypothesis is correct.
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