In: Statistics and Probability
Supposed we are interested in understanding the mean number of M&Ms in a small bag of M&M. (Assume the number of M&Ms in a bag follows a normal distribution with unknown mean). You collected a sample of 16 small bags of M&M and obtain the number of counts for each package. We obtained the following sample statistics, mean number of M&M per bag is 25, and standard variation is 4. a) Construct a 90% confidence interval for the true mean number of M&M in a bag. (10pts) b) Conclude your confidence interval. (5 pts)
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample mean =
= 25
Population standard deviation = 2
= 4
= 4 = 2
Sample size = n = 16
At 90% confidence level
= 1 - 90%
= 1 - 0.90 =0.10
/2
= 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
Margin of error = E = Z/2
* (
/n)
= 1.645 * ( 2 / 16
)
= 0.8225
At 90% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is,
- E < < + E
25 - 0.8225 < < 25 +
0.8225
24.1775 <
< 25.8225
( 24.1775 , 25.8225 )
At 90% confidence interval estimate of the population mean is : - ( 24.1775 , 25.8225 )