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XYZ, Inc. is considering a 5 year, 12% WACC capital budgeting project under three scenarios. If...

XYZ, Inc. is considering a 5 year, 12% WACC capital budgeting project under three scenarios. If conditions are excellent, the cash flows from this project are expected to be $4,000 per year; under fair conditions, cash flows are projected at $2,500 per year; and under unfavorable conditions, cash flows are projected at ($600) per year. The initial investment outlay is $3,000 and the probabilities of these three conditions are 30%, 50% and 20%, respectively. Assume that XYZ has the option to abandon this project in the second year if conditions are unfavorable. It could do so by selling this project to another company at a price of $1,500 in year 2 and consequently cash flows would be 0 in years 3 and beyond. Calculate the standard deviation given the abandonment option.

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XYZ, Inc. is considering a 5 year, 12% WACC capital budgeting project under three scenarios. If conditions are excellent, the cash flows from this project are expected to be $4,000 per year; under fair conditions, cash flows are projected at $2,500 per year; and under unfavorable conditions, cash flows are projected at ($600) per year. The initial investment outlay is $3,000 and the probabilities of these three conditions are 30%, 50% and 20%, respectively. Assume that XYZ has the option to abandon this project in the second year if conditions are unfavorable. It could do so by selling this project to another company at a price of $1,500 in year 2 and consequently cash flows would be 0 in years 3 and beyond.

=4000xPVAx12%for5years=3000

=4000x3.604766-3000

=11,419.1048

fair condition

p=0.5

NPV=2500x3.604776-3000

$6011.9405

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ekkarill92 answered 1 year ago
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