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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Revenue 4,500 6,860 8,409 9,082...

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Revenue 4,500 6,860 8,409 9,082 9,808 10,593 11,440 12,355 13,344 14,411
Revenue Growth 52.4% 22.6% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Production Costs
Fixed Production Expense (excl depreciation) 575 575 587 598 610 622 635 648 660 674
Variable Production Costs 2,035 3,404 4,291 4,669 5,078 5,521 6,000 6,519 7,079 7,685
Depreciation 152 152 152 152 164 178 192 207 224 242
Total Production Costs 0 2,762 4,131 5,029 5,419 5,853 6,321 6,827 7,373 7,963 8,600
Selling, General & Administrative 1,250 1,155 1,735 2,102 2,270 2,452 2,648 2,860 3,089 3,336 3,603
Total Operating Expenses 1,250 3,917 5,866 7,132 7,690 8,305 8,969 9,687 10,462 11,299 12,203
Operating Profit (1,250) 583 994 1,277 1,392 1,503 1,623 1,753 1,893 2,045 2,209
Working Capital Assumptions:
Minimum Cash Balance as % of Sales 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Days Sales Outstanding 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x
Inventory Turnover (prod. cost/ending inv.) 7.7x 8.3x 12.7x 12.7x 12.7x 12.7x 12.7x 12.7x 12.7x 12.7x
Days Payable Outstanding (based on tot. op. exp.) 30.8x 30.9x 31.0x 31.0x 31.0x 31.0x 31.0x 31.0x 31.0x 31.0x
Capital Expenditures 1,470 952 152 152 334 361 389 421 454 491 530

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Cashflow

NVP

Payback

IRR

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Expert Solution

Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 NPV
Revenue 4,500 6,860 8,409 9,082 9,808 10,593 11,440 12,355 13,344 14,411 3,359
Revenue Growth 52.40% 22.60% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00%
Production Costs
Fixed Production Expense (excl depreciation) 575 575 587 598 610 622 635 648 660 674
Variable Production Costs 2,035 3,404 4,291 4,669 5,078 5,521 6,000 6,519 7,079 7,685
Depreciation 152 152 152 152 164 178 192 207 224 242
Total Production Costs 0 2,762 4,131 5,029 5,419 5,853 6,321 6,827 7,373 7,963 8,600
Selling, General & Administrative 1,250 1,155 1,735 2,102 2,270 2,452 2,648 2,860 3,089 3,336 3,603
Total Operating Expenses 1,250 3,917 5,866 7,132 7,690 8,305 8,969 9,687 10,462 11,299 12,203
Operating Profit -1,250 583 994 1,277 1,392 1,503 1,623 1,753 1,893 2,045 2,209
Add: Depreciation 0 152 152 152 152 164 178 192 207 224 242
Operating Cash Flow -1,250 735 1,146 1,429 1,544 1,667 1,801 1,945 2,100 2,269 2,451
Working Capital Assumptions:
Minimum Cash Balance as % of Sales 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%
Cash 0 135 206 252 272 294 318 343 371 400 432
Days Sales Outstanding 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x 59.2x
DSO(A/R)=(Sales*59.2)/365              730       1,113       1,364       1,473       1,591       1,718       1,855       2,004       2,164       2,337
Inventory Turnover (prod. cost/ending inv.) 7.7 8.3 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7
Inventory(Prod. Cost/ITO)              359         498         396         427         461         498         538         581         627         677
Days Payable Outstanding (based on tot. op. exp.) 30.8 30.9 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31
Accounts Payable=(Op. exp*DPO)/365             -331        -497        -606        -653        -705        -762        -823        -889        -960      -1,036
Working Capital(Cash+DSO+Inventory-A/P)              893       1,320       1,406       1,519       1,641       1,772       1,914       2,067       2,232       2,410
Fund required for the working Capital         893           1,320       1,406       1,519       1,641       1,772       1,914       2,067       2,232       2,410
Additional fund invested in the working Capital        -893             -427          -87        -113        -121        -131        -142        -153        -165        -178       2,410
Capital Expenditures -1,470 -952 -152 -152 -334 -361 -389 -421 -454 -491 -530
Total Capital (Outflow)/Inflow -2,363 -1,379 -239 -265 -455 -492 -531 -574 -619 -669 1,880
Free Cash Flow(Operating Cash Flow- (Capital(outflow)/inflow) -3,613 -644 907 1,164 1,089 1,175 1,270 1,371 1,481 1,600 4,331
Discount Factor=1/(1+10%)^n 1.00000       0.90909 0.82645 0.75131 0.68301 0.62092 0.56447 0.51316 0.46651 0.42410 0.38554
Discounted Free Cash Flow -3,613 -585 750 875 743 729 717 704 691 678 1,670
Lets discount this project by 21%
Discount Factor=1/(1+21%)^n 1.00000       0.82645 0.68301 0.56447 0.46651 0.38554 0.31863 0.26333 0.21763 0.17986 0.14864
Discounted Free Cash Flow -3,613 -532 620 657 508 453 405 361 322 288 644 112
Lets discount this project by 22%
Discount Factor=1/(1+22%)^n 1.00000       0.81967 0.67186 0.55071 0.45140 0.37000 0.30328 0.24859 0.20376 0.16702 0.13690
Discounted Free Cash Flow -3,613 -527 609 641 491 435 385 341 302 267 593 -76
IRR=(21+(112/(112+76))*(22-21))/100 21.60%
Note: Since Tax rate is not given we assueme there is no tax
Assumed :Working Capital required for the year injected at the start of the year
Assumed : the working capital invested will be released 100% at the end of the project
Assumed: Since cost of Capital is not given we assume cost of capital of the project is 10%
Free Cash Flow -3,613 -644 907 1,164 1,089 1,175 1,270 1,371 1,481 1,600 4,331 10,131
Cummulative Free Cash Flow -3,613 -4,257 -3,349 -2,185 -1,097 78 1,348 2,719 4,200 5,800 10,131
Payback Period=4+1097/(1097+78)           4.93 Years

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