In: Statistics and Probability
A jar contains 2 pennies, 6 nickels and 4 dimes. A child selects 2 coins at random without replacement from the jar. Let X represent the amount in cents of the selected coins.
a. Find the probability X = 11.
b. Find the expected value of X
1 penny =1 cent
1 dime =10 cents
1 nickel = 5 cents
Let N shows the event that a nickel is selected, D shows the event that a dime is selected and P shows the event that a penny is selected. Since order of coins is not important so possible outcomes are:
S = { NN, PP, DD, NP, ND, PD}
The values of above outcomes in cent are:
NN = 10, PP = 2 , DD = 20, NP = 6, ND = 15, PD = 11
The value of X in each case is 10, 2, 20, 6, 15, 11 respectively.
The total number of coins in the jar is: 2+6+4 = 12
Number of ways of selecting 2 coins out of 12 is C(12, 2) = 66
Now
P(X = 10) = P(NN) = C(6,2) / 66= 15 / 66
P(X =2) = P(PP) = C(2,2) / 66= 1 / 66
P(X =20) = P(DD) = C(4,2) / 66= 6 / 66
P(X=6) = P(NP) = [C(6,1)*C(2,1)] / 66 = 12 / 66
P(X=15) = P(ND) = [C(6,1)*C(4,1)] / 66 = 24 / 66
P(X=11) = P(PD) = [C(2,1)*C(4,1)] / 66 = 8 / 66
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So,
P(X=11) = 8 / 66 = 4 / 33
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Following table shows the calculations for expected value:
X | P(X=x) | xP(X=x) |
10 | 0.22727273 | 2.27272727 |
2 | 0.01515152 | 0.03030303 |
20 | 0.09090909 | 1.81818182 |
6 | 0.18181818 | 1.09090909 |
15 | 0.36363636 | 5.45454545 |
11 | 0.12121212 | 1.33333333 |
Total | 1 | 12 |
So,