Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Suppose the preliteracy scores of three-year-old students in the United States are normally distributed. Shelia, a...

Suppose the preliteracy scores of three-year-old students in the United States are normally distributed. Shelia, a preschool teacher, wants to estimate the mean score on preliteracy tests for the population of three-year-olds. She draws a simple random sample of 20 students from her class of three-year-olds and records their preliteracy scores (in points).

80,82,83,85,86,91,91,92,92,93,95,97,99,100,100,103,107,108,111,112

a) Calculate the sample mean, sample standard deviation, and standard error (SE) of the students' scores. Round your answers to four decimal places.
b) Determine the t-critical value (t) and margin of error (m) for a 95% confidence interval. Round your answers to three decimal places.
c) What are the lower and upper limits of a 95% confidence interval? Round your answers to three decimal places.
d) Which is the correct interpretation of the confidence interval:

Shelia is 95% confident that the true population mean is between 91.129 points and 99.571 points.

There is a 95% chance that the true population mean is between 91.129 points and 99.571 points.

Shelia is 95% confident that the true population mean is between 90.842 points and 99.858 points.

There is a 95% chance that the population mean is between 90.842 points and 99.858 points.

Shelia is certain that the true population mean is between 90.842 points and 99.858 points.

Solutions

Expert Solution

For the given sample details the mean is calculated as:

a) Mean = (80 + 82 + 83 + 85 + 86 + 91 + 91 + 92 + 92 + 93 + 95 + 97 + 99 + 100 + 100 + 103 + 107 + 108 + 111 + 112)/20
= 1907/20
Mean = 95.35

and the sample standard deviation as:

Standard Deviation σ =s = √(1/20 - 1) x ((80 - 95.35)2 + (82 - 95.35)2 + (83 - 95.35)2 + (85 - 95.35)2 + (86 - 95.35)2 + (91 - 95.35)2 + (91 - 95.35)2 + (92 - 95.35)2 + (92 - 95.35)2 + (93 - 95.35)2 + (95 - 95.35)2 + (97 - 95.35)2 + (99 - 95.35)2 + (100 - 95.35)2 + (100 - 95.35)2 + (103 - 95.35)2 + (107 - 95.35)2 + (108 - 95.35)2 + (111 - 95.35)2 + (112 - 95.35)2)
= √(1/19) x ((-15.35)2 + (-13.35)2 + (-12.35)2 + (-10.35)2 + (-9.35)2 + (-4.35)2 + (-4.35)2 + (-3.35)2 + (-3.35)2 + (-2.35)2 + (-0.34999999999999)2 + (1.65)2 + (3.65)2 + (4.65)2 + (4.65)2 + (7.65)2 + (11.65)2 + (12.65)2 + (15.65)2 + (16.65)2)
= √(0.0526) x ((235.6225) + (178.2225) + (152.5225) + (107.1225) + (87.4225) + (18.9225) + (18.9225) + (11.2225) + (11.2225) + (5.5225) + (0.1225) + (2.7225) + (13.3225) + (21.6225) + (21.6225) + (58.5225) + (135.7225) + (160.0225) + (244.9225) + (277.2225))
= √(0.0526) x (1762.55)
= √(92.71013)
= 9.6315

and the standard error is caluclated as:

b) The critical value tc is calculted uisng the given confience level and degree of freedom = n-1=20-1=19.

the formula used is =T.INV.2T(0.05,19) which results in tc = 2.093.

The margin of error is calculated as:

ME = 4.508

c) The confidence interval is calculated as:


d) The correct interpretation of the confidence interval is :

Shelia is 95% confident that the true population mean is between 90.842 points and 99.858 points.


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