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Q1. A total of 1,176,453 deaths (all causes in the whole population) were reported in country...

Q1. A total of 1,176,453 deaths (all causes in the whole population) were reported in country X in 2003. The mid-year population in 2003 was estimated to be 198,812,000. HIV related deaths and mid-year population by age-group are given below.

Age group (years)

HIV-related deaths

Mid-year population

Age specific HIV related death rate (per 100,000 population)

0-4

110

11,217, 000

1.0

5-14

30

28,146,000

15-24

423

31,698,000

1.3

25-34

4328

37,315,000

11.6

35-44

4096

29,305,000

45-54

1522

19,276,000

7.9

55+

897

41,855,000

2.1

Total

11406

198,812,000

(a) Calculate the crude death rate (from all causes) in country X in 2003. (2pts)

(b) Calculate the crude HIV-related death rate in country X in 2003 in the whole population. (2pts)

(c) Calculate the age specific HIV-related death among 5-14year-olds and among 35-44year-olds. (1 + 1pt)

HIV-related deaths and mid-year population by age group in Country Y in 2003 are given below

Age group (years)

HIV-related deaths

Mid-year population

Age specific HIV related death rate (per 100,000 population)

0-4

336

33,600,000

5-14

87

62,400,000

15-24

499

38,400,000

25-34

4454

38,400,000

35-44

3360

24,000,000

45-54

1516

19,200,000

55+

504

24,000,000

Total

10756

240,000,000

4.5

(d) Calculate the age-specific HIV-related death rates for country Y in 2003, and complete the above table.(4pts)

(e) Can you conclude that a person living in country X has a risk of dying from HIV that is 1.2 times as high as a person living in country Y? Give a reason for your answer (2pts)

Solutions

Expert Solution

Q1 (a)

CRUDE DEATH RATE

Definition:

CRUDE DEATH RATE is the total number of deaths to residents in a specified geographic area
(country, state, county, etc.) divided by the total population for the same geographic area (for a specified time period, usually a calendar year) and multiplied by 100,000.

Calculation:

Total Resident Deaths
------------------------------- X 100,000
Total Population   

To calculate the crude death rate (from all causes) in country X in 2003.

According to the given data,

Total death reported in country X (2003) = 1,176,453

The mid-year population in 2003 = 198,812,000.

Calculation :

The  crude death rate (from all causes) is 591.7 resident per 100000 population in country X in 2003.

Q1(b)

CAUSE-SPECIFIC DEATH RATE is the number of deaths from a specified cause per 100,000
person-years at risk.

Calculation:

Number of Deaths From
Specified Cause
-------------------------------- x 100,000
Total Population

According to the given data,

Total HIV-related death rate in country X in 2003 = 11406

Total population = 198,812,000

Calculation:

Hence, the crude HIV-related death rate in country X in 2003 in the whole population were 5.7

Q1 (c)

AGE-SPECIFIC DEATH RATE is the total number of deaths to residents of a specified age or age group in a specified geographic area (country, state, county, etc.) divided by the population of the same age or age group in the same geographic area (for a specified time period, usually a calendar year) and multiplied by 100,000 .

Calculation:

Total Deaths in Specified Age Group
------------------------------------------------------- X 100,000
Total Population in the Same Specified
Age Group

According to the data shown in table,

  • HIV-related death among 5-14year-olds = 30 in 2814600 population

Calculation:

The age specific HIV related death among 5-14 years per 100000 is 0.106 deaths.

  • HIV-related death among 35-44year-olds = 4096 in 29,305,000 population.

Calculation :

The age specific HIV-related death among 35-44year-olds is 14 deaths per 100,000


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