In: Statistics and Probability
Two team (A and B) play a series of baseball games. The team who wins three games of five-game-series wins the series. Consider A has home-field advantage (0.7 means A has probability of winning 0.7 if it plays in its field) and opponent-field disadvantage (0.2 means A has probability of winning 0.2 if it plays in opponents field). If the series start on A team’s field and played alternately between A and B team’s fields, find the probability that series will be completed in four games.