In: Statistics and Probability
. A poll found that 36% of U.S. teens aged from 13 to 17 years old have a computer with Internet access in their rooms. The poll was based on a random sample of 1028 teens.
A) Give the 98% confidence interval for the population proportion, p.
B) What does the interval in part (A) mean in this context. Be as specific as possible
C) How big of a sample must we take in order to ensure that we are within 1% of the true proportion with 98% confidence?
Solution :
a ) Given that
n = 1028
x = 225
= 0.360
1 - = 1 - 0.360 = 0.740
At 98% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 98% = 1 - 0.98 = 0.02
/ 2 = 0.02 / 2 = 0.01
Z/2 = Z0.01 = 2.326
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.326 * (((0.360 * 0.740) / 1028)
= 0.035
b ) A 98 % confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P < + E
0.360 - 0.035 < p < 0.360 + 0.035
0.325 < p < 0.2395
c ) Given that,
= 0.36
1 - = 1 - 0.36 = 0.74
margin of error = E = 1% = 0.01
At 98% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 98% = 1 - 0.98 = 0.02
/ 2 = 0.02 / 2 = 0.01
Z/2 = Z0.01 = 2.326
Sample size = n = ((Z / 2) / E)2 * * (1 - )
= (2.326 / 0.01)2 * 0.36 * 0.47
= 12469
n = sample size = 12469