In: Economics
Use the Scanlon model (the dual market model of nursing home behavior) to identify the impact of an increase of the Medicaid reimbursement rate on the private price for nursing home care and the number of private-pay and Medicaid patients. What are the assumptions behind this model? Do you the assumptions are realistic? Why or Why not?
ans....
In the analysis of all U.S. markets, there was a positive
relationship between the Medicaid payment rate and nursing home
quality. The results from this analysis imply that a 10 percent
increase in Medicaid payment was associated with a 1.5 percent
decrease in the incidence of risk-adjusted pressure ulcers.
However, there was a limited association between Medicaid payment
rates and quality in the most restrictive markets. Finally, there
was a strong relationship between Medicaid payment and quality in
high-Medicaid homes providing strong evidence that the level of
Medicaid payment is especially important within resource poor
facilities.
Substandard nursing home quality has been a persistent policy issue
over the past three decades (e.g., U.S. Senate 1974; U.S. General
Accounting Office 1987; Institute of Medicine 2001). The
relationship between poor quality and Medicaid payment rates is of
particular concern in a system in which two-thirds of all nursing
home bed days are covered by Medicaid (Rhoades and Sommers 2001).
State Medicaid programs spent $175 billion in fiscal year 1998 with
more than $44 billion directed toward nursing home care services
(Health Care Financing Agency 2000).
There is currently a great deal of interest in limiting state
Medicaid expenditures for nursing home care. States are forecasting
record budgetary shortfalls in the current fiscal year due to
declining tax revenues related to the economic recession that began
in 2001. Simultaneously, more individuals are unemployed and
qualifying for Medicaid services. Thus, there is a widening gap
between revenues and expenditures with recent data from the
National Association of State Budget Officers estimating the net
state budget shortfalls at approximately $40 billion (National
Association of State Budget Officers 2001). Medicaid accounts for
about 20 percent of states' spending and Medicaid spending growth
has outpaced national health spending since the late 1980s. Not
surprisingly, states have identified nursing home spending cuts as
a potential means toward addressing widening state budget
shortfalls. A Kaiser Family Foundation survey of state Medicaid
directors found that 49 states plan to reduce the rate of growth in
Medicaid spending while 19 states plan actual cuts in their
Medicaid spending for long-term care in fiscal year 2003 (Smith,
Gifford, and Ramesh 2003).
Historically, the two primary approaches to reducing state nursing
home expenditures involve reducing Medicaid payment rates and
limiting the number of Medicaid recipients in homes via
certificate-of-need (CON) laws and construction moratoria.
Essentially, the first mechanism constrains the price of care and
the second constrains the quantity of available beds. In theory,
both of these policy measures may have negative implications toward
the provision of quality. Low Medicaid payment rates may not
provide nursing homes with adequate resources to provide sufficient
quality, and CON laws and moratoria may impede quality competition
for Medicaid recipients. Both of these issues may be particularly
important for homes that care for a high proportion of Medicaid
residents.
In the context of these concerns, this study addresses three
primary questions:
1. How are Medicaid payment rates associated with risk-adjusted
nursing home quality?
2. Does a restricted bed supply affect the relationship between
Medicaid payment and risk-adjusted nursing home quality?
3. Are payment rates and bed constraint policies even more
important for homes that care for a high proportion of Medicaid
recipients.
Many observers view the increasing ''corporatization" of American
health care as the most significant development since the passage
of Medicare and Medicaid. While there is general consensus about
the trend toward corporatization, there is little agreement about
the impact of this development on the cost, quality, and
accessibility of American health care. Recently, the for-profit
segment in the modern hospital sector has become prominent with the
rapid growth of proprietary corporate chains. The nursing home
sector has, however, been dominated by proprietary. providers for
decades, and publicly held corporations owning and operating
nursing homes have been prevalent since the late 1960s.
Until fairly recently, nursing homes have not attracted substantial
attention from researchers, except for studies on costs. Relatively
few studies have focused on quality., and even fewer have
investigated accessibility. Virtually none have focused on nursing
home "chains," that is, corporations owning and operating nursing
homes in a number of states. There are, however, a few empirical
studies that address the impact of the type of ownership on nursing
homes. They provide suggestive information about the incentive
structure of these ownership forms and about what policymakers can
expect if current trends continue.
This paper will explore what is known about the impact of ownership
and the corporatization of health care in the nursing home
industry. It will discuss the history of nursing homes, identify
the current structure of the industry and the public policies that
have contributed to this structure, and indicate potential results
if current ownership trends persist. Finally, it will attempt to
apply what is known about developments in nursing homes to the
hospital sector.
Nursing home care is the third largest segment of the health care
industry. It will continue to grow in prominence with increasing
longevity, shifts in morbidity, and changing demographic, social,
and economic patterns in the family. Given present demographic
trends, (in particular, the dramatic growth of the 85 years of age
and older segment of the population), the United States will need
to increase its nursing home bed supply by an estimated 57 percent
between 1980 and the year 1995 to keep pace with the current level
of utilization (Harrington and Grant, 1985; Doty et al., 1985;
Lane, 1984). Some experts predicted the need for an additional 1
million to 1.5 million beds by the year 2000, based on current
utilization, prior rates of increase in utilization, and estimated
rates of dependency among the elderly (Rice, 1984; Scanlon and
Feder, 1984; U.S. DHHS, 1981b; Weissert, 1985). By 2040, 4.3
million elderly are expected to be institutionalized (Doty et al.,
1985).
This apparent need for additional long-term care beds presents
policymakers with an important opportunity to affect the future
shape of the long-term care system. The debate about whether
proprietary interests should be permitted to remain in the nursing
home business, however, "is essentially moot" (Vladeck, 1980).
For-profit interests own more than 75 percent of the nursing homes
nationwide and are rapidly expanding in the home health and life
care markets. Yet, today's public policy decisions on
reimbursement, health planning, licensure, and the use of
low-interest bonds for new construction can affect the structure of
tomorrow's industry. Thus, the possibility exists for public
policies to significantly affect the structure of the health care
sector.
Public policymakers have a clear stake in the emerging shape of the
nursing home industry. First, government has a fundamental
regulatory role as the primary purchaser of formal long-term care
services. It dispenses more than half of the dollars spent for
nursing home care and assists in paying for nearly 70 percent of
all the patients in nursing homes.1 As such, government has a
responsibility to ensure that its funds are well spent.
Second, the regulatory system bears a significant responsibility
for the quality of nursing home care because of the frailty of most
consumers. Consumers needing long-term care generally suffer from a
bewildering array of chronic physical, functional, or mental
disabilities. In fact, studies indicate that the nursing home
population is becoming even more aged and disabled, and this trend
is likely to continue (GAO, 1982, 1983b; Manton, 1984). These
consumers have only a limited ability to choose rationally among
providers of long-term care. They have poor access to accurate
information, limited ability to evaluate the information, and
multiple disabilities that restrict their mobility and ability to
switch easily from one provider to another. Thus, consumers have
little to influence facilities' decisions and behavior.
Third, most nursing home patients lack advocates to represent their
interests. An estimated 30 percent of the patients have no living
immediate family members, and as many as half have no relatives
nearby (Brody, 1977; U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging, 1974).
While physicians may recommend nursing home placement, they seldom
choose the facility. Placement decisions for many individuals
entering nursing homes are made by case workers and hospital
discharge planners. These individuals may have the best interest of
the patient at heart, but they labor under a set of incentives in
which locating an empty bed—in any facility that will accept the
patient—is a strong priority. Even when family members are present,
they too labor under the burden of needing to locate an available
bed while lacking useful information on the comparative merits of
different providers.
As a result, government's role in quality assurance is essential.
Moreover, it is crucial. Despite considerable improvement in
nursing homes since the inception of Medicare and Medicaid,
substandard quality of patient care and quality of life remain
serious problems nationwide. Inadequate nutrition, dehydration,
overdrugging, excessive use of physical restraints, failure to
provide prescribed therapies, inattention to the psychosocial needs
of nursing home residents, and ineffective government regulatory
activity are but a few of the problems commonly cited (Mech, 1980;
Kane, 1983; Kane et al., 1979; Himmelstein et al., 1983; Zimmer,
1979; Ohio Nursing Home Commission, 1979; Virginia Joint
Legislative Audit and Review Commission, 1978; Mendelson, 1974;
Texas Nursing Home Task Force, 1978; AFL-CIO, 1977, 1983b; U.S.
Senate Special Committee on Aging, 1974, 1975a, b; U.S. DHEW,
1975a; Ray et al., 1980; Ouslander et al., 1982; California Health
Facilities Commission, 1982; California Commission on State
Government Organization and Economy, 1983; Illinois Legislative
Investigating Commission, 1983; Missouri State Senate, 1978; New
Jersey State Nursing Home Commission, 1978).
Furthermore, nursing home costs have escalated at an even more
dramatic rate than costs for hospital care. Discrimination against
recipients of Medicaid and those individuals with heavy-care needs
is widely acknowledged (Harrington and Grant, 1985; GAO, 1979,
1983a, b; Feder and Scanlon, 1981; Scanlon, 1980a, b; Vogel and
Palmer, 1983). Given these problems in quality, cost, and
accessibility of nursing home care, information about the impact of
ownership is essential to rational policymaking in long-term care,
particularly given the ability of public policies to restructure
the industry.