In: Accounting
Rate of return using CAPM(Capital Asset Pricing Model) is
Expected Rate of Return=Risk Free rate+beta of Stock*(Risk Premium)
So Current rate of return is 8.7%+5%=13.7%
Beta of Stock is assumed as 1 which otherwise means Stock is in tandem with market .(Market Fluctuations will affect Stock prices in the same pattern)
If Risk Premium increases from 8.5 %to 12% then
Expected rate of return on stock(Required return) will be 12%+5%=17%
Market Value as per Dividend Growth
(Current Market Price per Share=$36.65)
For First year When growth rate in dividend is 6%
Market Price per Share=Dividend(1+growth)/(Expected Rate of return -Growth)
=4.08(1+6%)/(17%-6%)
=39.32
Rate of return in first year is =Dividend(1+growth)/MPS
=4.08(1.06)/39.32
=10.99%
For Next 2 Years when growth in dividend is estimated as 8%
Market Price per Share=Dividend(1+growth)/(Expected Rate of return -Growth)
=4.08(1+0.08)/(0.17-0.08)
=48.96
Rate of return in Second year is =Dividend(1+growth)/MPS
=4.08(1.08)/48.96
=9%
For Third year and thereafter when growth in dividend is expected as 7%
Market Price per Share=Dividend(1+growth)/(Expected Rate of return -Growth)
=4.08(1+0.07)(0.17-0.07)
=43.66
Rate of return from third year onwards is =Dividend(1+growth)/MPS
=4.08(1.07)/43.66
=10%