In: Statistics and Probability
Is the religious make-up of the United States Congress reflective of that in the general population? The following table shows the religious affiliation of the 535 members of the 114th Congress (2015-2017) along with the religious affiliation of a random sample of 1200 adult Americans. Perform a complete hypothesis test to answer the question. Explain everything!
protestant | 306 | 616 |
Catholic | 164 | 287 |
Mormon | 16 | 20 |
Orthodox Christian | 5 | 7 |
Jewish | 28 | 20 |
Buddhist/Muslim/Hindu/Other | 6 | 57 |
Unaffiliated/dont know/Refused | 10 | 193 |
Here, we are trying to test whether religious make-up of the United States Congress is reflective of that in the general population, therefore this is a case of chi square test for goodness of fit here.
The observed frequencies here are the set of frequencies given for the US congress.
The expected proportions for the country here are computed as:
= Frequency for country / Total frequency
Religion | O_i | Country O_i | p_i | E_i | (O_i -E_i)^2/E_i | |
protestant | 306 | 616 | 0.5133 | 274.6333 | 3.5825 | |
Catholic | 164 | 287 | 0.2392 | 127.9542 | 10.1544 | |
Mormon | 16 | 20 | 0.0167 | 8.9167 | 5.6269 | |
Orthodox Christian | 5 | 7 | 0.0058 | 3.1208 | 1.1315 | |
Jewish | 28 | 20 | 0.0167 | 8.9167 | 40.8419 | |
Buddhist/Muslim/Hindu/Other | 6 | 57 | 0.0475 | 25.4125 | 14.8291 | |
Unaffiliated/dont know/Refused | 10 | 193 | 0.1608 | 86.0458 | 67.2080 | |
535 | 1200 | 535 | 143.3744 |
The expected frequency for the Congress members religious make
up here are computed here as:
Ei = pi * 535 which is the total frequency
here. These are computed in the above table.
The chi square test statistic now is computed here as:
For n - 1 = 6 degrees of freedom, we get from the chi square distribution tables, the p-value here as:
As the p-value here is approx. 0, therefore the test is significant here and we have sufficient evidence here that the religious make-up of the United States Congress is not reflective of that in the general population,