Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Is the religious make-up of the United States Congress reflective of that in the general population?...

Is the religious make-up of the United States Congress reflective of that in the general population? The following table shows the religious affiliation of the 535 members of the 114th Congress (2015-2017) along with the religious affiliation of a random sample of 1200 adult Americans. Perform a complete hypothesis test to answer the question. Explain everything!

protestant 306 616
Catholic 164 287
Mormon 16 20
Orthodox Christian 5 7
Jewish 28 20
Buddhist/Muslim/Hindu/Other 6 57
Unaffiliated/dont know/Refused 10 193

Solutions

Expert Solution

Here, we are trying to test whether religious make-up of the United States Congress is reflective of that in the general population, therefore this is a case of chi square test for goodness of fit here.

The observed frequencies here are the set of frequencies given for the US congress.

The expected proportions for the country here are computed as:

= Frequency for country / Total frequency

Religion O_i Country O_i p_i E_i (O_i -E_i)^2/E_i
protestant 306 616 0.5133 274.6333 3.5825
Catholic 164 287 0.2392 127.9542 10.1544
Mormon 16 20 0.0167 8.9167 5.6269
Orthodox Christian 5 7 0.0058 3.1208 1.1315
Jewish 28 20 0.0167 8.9167 40.8419
Buddhist/Muslim/Hindu/Other 6 57 0.0475 25.4125 14.8291
Unaffiliated/dont know/Refused 10 193 0.1608 86.0458 67.2080
535 1200 535 143.3744

The expected frequency for the Congress members religious make up here are computed here as:
Ei = pi * 535 which is the total frequency here. These are computed in the above table.

The chi square test statistic now is computed here as:

For n - 1 = 6 degrees of freedom, we get from the chi square distribution tables, the p-value here as:

As the p-value here is approx. 0, therefore the test is significant here and we have sufficient evidence here that the religious make-up of the United States Congress is not reflective of that in the general population,


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