In: Statistics and Probability
Determine the mean and standard deviation of your sample. Find the 80%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals. Make sure to list the margin of error for the 80%, 95%, and 99% confidence interval. Create your own confidence interval (you cannot use 80%, 95%, and 99%) and make sure to show your work. Make sure to list the margin of error. What trend do you see takes place to the confidence interval as the confidence level rises? Explain mathematically why that takes place. Provide a sentence for each confidence interval created in part c) which explains what the confidence interval means in context of the topic of your data
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mean and standard deviation
The mean and standard deviation values are obtained in excel using the function =AVERAGE() and STDEV(). The screenshot is shown below,
80%, 95%, and 99% confidence intervals.
80% confidence intervals.
The confidence interval for the mean is obtained using the formula,
where the margin of error is,
From the data values,
Sample mean = 15.8940
Sample standard deviation = 10.2845
The t critical value is obtained from t distribution table for significance level = 0.20 and degree of freedom = n -1 = 50 - 1 = 49.
Now, the margin of error value is,
and
95% confidence intervals.
The t critical value is obtained from t distribution table for significance level = 0.05 and degree of freedom = n -1 = 50 - 1 = 49.
Now, the margin of error value is,
and
99% confidence intervals.
The t critical value is obtained from t distribution table for significance level = 0.01 and degree of freedom = n -1 = 50 - 1 = 49.
Now, the margin of error value is,
and
Additionally,
90% confidence intervals.
The t critical value is obtained from t distribution table for significance level = 0.10 and degree of freedom = n -1 = 50 - 1 = 49.
Now, the margin of error value is,
and
Conclusion:
The calculated confidence intervals are,
Lower Limit | Upper Limit | |
80% CI | 13.9656 | 17.8224 |
90% CI | 13.4053 | 18.3827 |
95% CI | 12.9109 | 18.8771 |
99% CI | 11.9158 | 19.8722 |
We can see that as the significance level is decreasing, the confidence interval gets wider. This is because the margin of error value is increasing due to the increase in the value of t critical value.
As the significance level is decreasing we are getting more confident that the true populating mean will lie in this interval.