In: Statistics and Probability
A five-card poker hand is dealt from a standard deck. What is the probability that it is a “three-of-a-kind” (three cards with matching faces values, while the other two cards have non-matching face values)? Leave your answer in combinatorial form, clearly indicating (in words) what each term in your answer corresponds to.
As there are 52 cards in a deck,
there are totally
ways to pick 5 cards.
There are 13 different values of cards in a deck so there are 13 ways to pick the face value that occurs three times [(i.e) A to 10 and K,Q,J].
Thus there are
ways to choose one value from this 13 different values (number of
ways of choosing the face value for the three cards), then there
are
ways to choose three cards with matching face value from the 4
cards from the deck. ( number of ways of choosing the suits for
these three cards). Thus the total number of ways in choosing three
cards with matching face values are
.
[Say for example if we want to pick
the three 9's from the deck of 52 cards. Then there is one way of
choosing 9 from 13 different values in the deck and there are 4
ways of choosing the three 9's from the four 9's in the deck. Thus
there are totally
ways to obtain three 9's from the deck of 52 cards].
As we have chosen 3 cards already,
there are remaining 48 ways of choosing the remaining two cards.
That is, there are
ways of choosing the remaining two cards. Now to be more precise,
as we have already chosen a face value of 9 out of 13 cards, there
are 12 ways of choosing the face values for the other two cards
. And there are
ways of choosing the suits for last two cards. Thus the total
number of ways in choosing remaining two cards with non-matching
face values are
ways.
[Say for example, if the remaining
two cards we pick are 7 and 8, then there are
ways of choosing these two remaining cards. And 4 ways of
choosing one 7 from the four 7's in the deck of remaining 48 cards
and 4 ways of choosing one 8 from the four 8's in the deck of
remaining 48 cards.Thus there are totally
ways to obtain two cards with non-matching face values from the
deck of remaining 48 cards].
Thus probability of three-of-a-kind is given by,
P[Three of a kind] =
=
=
=
=
Thus probability of three-of-a-kind
is
.