In: Statistics and Probability
A five-card poker hand is dealt from a standard deck. What is the probability that it is a “three-of-a-kind” (three cards with matching faces values, while the other two cards have non-matching face values)? Leave your answer in combinatorial form, clearly indicating (in words) what each term in your answer corresponds to.
As there are 52 cards in a deck, there are totally ways to pick 5 cards.
There are 13 different values of cards in a deck so there are 13 ways to pick the face value that occurs three times [(i.e) A to 10 and K,Q,J].
Thus there are ways to choose one value from this 13 different values (number of ways of choosing the face value for the three cards), then there are ways to choose three cards with matching face value from the 4 cards from the deck. ( number of ways of choosing the suits for these three cards). Thus the total number of ways in choosing three cards with matching face values are.
[Say for example if we want to pick the three 9's from the deck of 52 cards. Then there is one way of choosing 9 from 13 different values in the deck and there are 4 ways of choosing the three 9's from the four 9's in the deck. Thus there are totally ways to obtain three 9's from the deck of 52 cards].
As we have chosen 3 cards already, there are remaining 48 ways of choosing the remaining two cards. That is, there are ways of choosing the remaining two cards. Now to be more precise, as we have already chosen a face value of 9 out of 13 cards, there are 12 ways of choosing the face values for the other two cards . And there are ways of choosing the suits for last two cards. Thus the total number of ways in choosing remaining two cards with non-matching face values are ways.
[Say for example, if the remaining two cards we pick are 7 and 8, then there are ways of choosing these two remaining cards. And 4 ways of choosing one 7 from the four 7's in the deck of remaining 48 cards and 4 ways of choosing one 8 from the four 8's in the deck of remaining 48 cards.Thus there are totally ways to obtain two cards with non-matching face values from the deck of remaining 48 cards].
Thus probability of three-of-a-kind is given by,
P[Three of a kind] =
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Thus probability of three-of-a-kind is .