Why is it apparently so
difficult to forecast exchange rate movements? Discuss with
reference to the...
Why is it apparently so
difficult to forecast exchange rate movements? Discuss with
reference to the monetary model, the Mundell-Fleming model and/or
the Dornbusch model and its extensions.
(a)What is exchange rate risk? Distinguish between Transaction
Exposure and Economic exposure to exchange rate movements.
(b)Consider the following
information:
90-day U.S interest rate………………………………………………………….4%
90-day Malaysian interest rate……………………………………………….3%
90-day forward rate for the Malaysian Ringgit ……………………..$0.400
Spot Rate of Malaysian Ringgit ………………………………………………$0.404
Assume a U.S based MNC will need 300,000 Ringgit in 90 days and
wishes to hedge this payable position. Would it be better off using
a FORWARD hedge or MONEY MARKET hedge?
How does the Dornbusch overshooting model indicate exchange rate volatility and large exchange rate movements? What problems may this create based on the role of expectations on current exchange rate movements due to monetary policy, and the role of exchange rate movements in asset prices?
Researchers found that it is very difficult to forecast future
exchange rates more accurately than the forward exchange rate or
the current spot exchange rate. What are the underlying factors
behind these findings?
In about 300 words, discuss why is it so difficult to ensure good
communication on projects? What strategies can any project team use
to improve communications?