In: Statistics and Probability
An article gave a scatter plot along with the least squares line of x = rainfall volume (m3) and y = runoff volume (m3) for a particular location. The accompanying values were read from the plot.
x | 8 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 23 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 55 | 67 | 72 | 85 | 96 | 112 | 127 |
y | 4 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 45 | 38 | 46 | 53 | 75 | 82 | 99 | 104 |
(b) Calculate point estimates of the slope and intercept of the population regression line. (Round your answers to five decimal places.)
slope = | ||
intercept | = |
(c) Calculate a point estimate of the true average runoff volume
when rainfall volume is 47. (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
m3
(d) Calculate a point estimate of the standard deviation
?. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
m3
(e) What proportion of the observed variation in runoff volume can
be attributed to the simple linear regression relationship between
runoff and rainfall? (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
The statistical software output for this problem is:
Simple linear regression results:
Dependent Variable: y
Independent Variable: x
y = -2.6491939 + 0.85381695 x
Sample size: 15
R (correlation coefficient) = 0.99017899
R-sq = 0.98045444
Estimate of error standard deviation: 4.779818
Parameter estimates:
Parameter | Estimate | Std. Err. | Alternative | DF | T-Stat | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Intercept | -2.6491939 | 2.185153 | ? 0 | 13 | -1.2123609 | 0.2469 |
Slope | 0.85381695 | 0.033435167 | ? 0 | 13 | 25.536494 | <0.0001 |
Analysis of variance table for regression
model:
Source | DF | SS | MS | F-stat | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model | 1 | 14898.593 | 14898.593 | 652.11252 | <0.0001 |
Error | 13 | 297.00659 | 22.84666 | ||
Total | 14 | 15195.6 |
Predicted values:
X value | Pred. Y | s.e.(Pred. y) | 95% C.I. for mean | 95% P.I. for new |
---|---|---|---|---|
47 | 37.480203 | 1.2557268 | (34.76737, 40.193035) | (26.803629, 48.156776) |
Hence,
B) Slope = 0.85382
Intercept = -2.64919
c) Point estimate = 37.4802 m3
d) Point estimate for standard deviation = 4.78
e) Proportion explained = R-square = 0.9805