Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Find the probabilities for the following poker hands. They are arranged in decreasing order of probability....

Find the probabilities for the following poker hands. They are arranged in decreasing order of probability.

(e) Straight. (Five cards in a sequence. Does not include a straight flush. Ace can be high or low.)

(f) Three of a kind. (Three cards of one face value. Does not include four of a kind or full house.)

(g) Two pair. (Does not include four of a kind or full house.)

(h) One pair. (Does not include any of the aforementioned conditions.)

Solutions

Expert Solution

Number of ways of selecting 5 cards out of 52 cards is

(e)

Staright can be start from 10 cards start from ace, 1, 2,3, 4...10. Each denomination can be choosed in C(4,1)= 4 ways. So number of possible straights is

From the above, we need to remove flush. A straight flush means all 5 cards are from same suit and they form a straight. Since number of possible straight from each suit is 10 and number of ways of selecting one suit out of 4 is C(4,1) =4 so possible number of straight flush is 10*4 = 40.

Therefore number of straight without being a flush is 10240 - 40 = 10200

So the probabilty of a straight without being a flush is

10200 / 2598960 = 0.0039

(f)

Number of ways of selecting 1 denominations out of 13 is C(13,1). Number of ways of selecting 3 cards out of 4 cards of selected denomination is C(4,3). And then select two denominations out of remaining 12 denominations is C(12,2) and then 1 card from each selected denominations is C(4,1)C(4,1). So number of ways are there to draw a 5 card poker hand that contains 3 a kind is

C(13,1)C(4,3)C(12,2)C(4,1)C(4,1) = 54912 ways

So probability of getting three of a kind:

(g)

There are total 13 denominations and each denomination has 4 cards. So number of ways of selecting 2 denominations and then 2 cards out of 4 is


And since we need exactly 2 pairs so remaining 1 card must come from different denomination so number of ways of selecting 1 denominations out of remaining 11 denominations and then 1 card from selected denomination is


So number of ways of selecting 2 pairs is :


So required probability is

(g)

There are total 13 denominations and each denomination has 4 cards. So number of ways of selecting 1 denomination and then 2 cards out of 4 is

And since we need exactly 1 pair so remaining 3 cards must come from different denominations so number of ways of selecting 3 denominations out of remaining 12 denominations and then 1 card from each selected denominations is

So number of ways of selecting 1 pair is :

So required probability is


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