In: Statistics and Probability
A set of solar batteries is used in a research satellite. The
satellite can run on only one battery, but it runs best if more
than one battery is used. The variance σ2 of lifetimes of these
batteries affects the useful lifetime of the satellite before it
goes dead. If the variance is too small, all the batteries will
tend to die at once. Why? If the variance is too large, the
batteries are simply not dependable. Why? Engineers have determined
that a variance of σ2 = 23 months (squared) is most desirable for
these batteries. A random sample of 30 batteries gave a sample
variance of 14.6 months (squared). Using a 0.05 level of
significance, test the claim that σ2 = 23 against the claim that σ2
is different from 23.
(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses.
Ho: σ2 = 23; H1: σ2 > 23
Ho: σ2 = 23; H1: σ2 ≠ 23
Ho: σ2 > 23; H1: σ2 = 23
Ho: σ2 = 23; H1: σ2 < 23
(b) Find the value of the chi-square statistic for the sample. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
What are the degrees of freedom?
What assumptions are you making about the original
distribution?
We assume a uniform population distribution.
We assume a exponential population distribution.
We assume a normal population distribution.
We assume a binomial population distribution.
(c) Find or estimate the P-value of the sample test
statistic.
P-value > 0.100
0.050 < P-value < 0.100
0.025 < P-value < 0.050
0.010 < P-value < 0.025
0.005 < P-value < 0.010
P-value < 0.005
(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject
or fail to reject the null hypothesis?
Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null
hypothesis.
Since the P-value > α, we reject the null hypothesis.
Since the P-value ≤ α, we reject the null hypothesis.
Since the P-value ≤ α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
(e) Interpret your conclusion in the context of the
application.
At the 5% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to
conclude that the variance of battery life is different from
23.
At the 5% level of significance, there is sufficient evidence to
conclude that the variance of battery life is different from
23.
(f) Find a 90% confidence interval for the population variance.
(Round your answers to two decimal places.)
lower limit
upper limit
(g) Find a 90% confidence interval for the population standard
deviation. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
lower limit
months
upper limit
months
(a) The level of significance is 5% ie,
We have to test the claim that σ2 = 23 against the claim that σ2 is different from 23.
Therefore, the null and alternate hypothesis is
Ho: σ2 = 23; H1: σ2 ≠ 23
(b) The value of the chi-square statistic for the sample:
The test statistic is
and df = n-1
Given,
n=30
sample variance s2 = 14.6
σ2 = 23
c) p value
We have got the calculated value of chi square test statistic as 19.04
From the table of Chi-square test, we can see that for degrees of freedom = 29, the values 19.04 lies between 17.708 and 19.768. Thus we can write 0.90 < p value < 0.95
And thus using R software we get the p value as 0.920258
ie p value > 0.100
d)
Since the p-value of 0.9203 is greater than the level of significance of 0.05 (5%), we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
ie, Since the P-value > α, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.
e)
At the 5% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the variance of battery life is different from 23.
f)
90% confidence interval for the population variance
Sample size n = 30, Thus degrees of freedom = n-1 = 29
The desired confidence level = 90%
Now,
Hence the required 90% CI for population variance is calculated as
Thus the 90% Confidence limits for the population variance are
lower limit : 9.95 months2
upper limit : 23.91 months2
g)
90% confidence interval for the population standard deviation
Thus the 90% Confidence limits for the population variance are
lower limit : 3.15 months
upper limit : 4.89 months