In: Finance
A common stock has just paid a dividend of $2.18/share. The dividend is expected to grow by 5.62% per year for 18 years. After that the dividends will stay constant in perpetuity. The required rate of return on the stock is 16%. What should the price of the stock be today?
Computation of Price of the Stock
Answer : As per dividend discount model price of the share is present value of all future cash flow
Step 1 : Explicit Forecast period
Year |
Dividend |
PVIF @16% |
Present Value |
1 |
$2.30 |
0.862068966 |
$1.98 |
2 |
$2.43 |
0.743162901 |
$1.81 |
3 |
$2.57 |
0.640657674 |
$1.65 |
4 |
$2.71 |
0.552291098 |
$1.50 |
5 |
$2.87 |
0.476113015 |
$1.36 |
6 |
$3.03 |
0.410442255 |
$1.24 |
7 |
$3.20 |
0.35382953 |
$1.13 |
8 |
$3.38 |
0.305025457 |
$1.03 |
9 |
$3.57 |
0.26295298 |
$0.94 |
10 |
$3.77 |
0.226683603 |
$0.85 |
11 |
$3.98 |
0.1954169 |
$0.78 |
12 |
$4.20 |
0.168462844 |
$0.71 |
13 |
$4.44 |
0.14522659 |
$0.64 |
14 |
$4.69 |
0.125195336 |
$0.59 |
15 |
$4.95 |
0.107927014 |
$0.53 |
16 |
$5.23 |
0.093040529 |
$0.49 |
17 |
$5.52 |
0.080207353 |
$0.44 |
18 |
$5.83 |
0.06914427 |
$0.40 |
Total |
$18.08 |
Step 2 : Horizon Value
Price at the end of Year 18 = D19 / Re
= 5.83 / 0.16
= $ 36.44 approx
Price of the Stock Today = $ 36.44 * 0.06914427
= $ 2.52 (approx)
Price of the Stock = Step 1 + Step 2
= $18.08 + $ 2.52
= $ 20.6 (approx.)