In: Finance
You are a financial analyst for the Hittle Company. The director
of capital budgeting
has asked you to analyze two proposed capital investments, Projects
X and Y. Each
project has a cost of $10,000, and the cost of capital for each is
12%. The projects’
expected net cash flows are as follows:
Expected Net Cash Flows
Year Project X Project Y
0 ?$10,000 ?$10,000
1 6,500 3,500
2 3,000 3,500
3 3,000 3,500
4 1,000 3,500
a. Calculate each project’s payback period, net present value
(NPV), internal rate
of return (IRR), modified internal rate of return (MIRR), and
profitability
index (PI).
b. Which project or projects should be accepted if they are
independent?
c. Which project should be accepted if they are mutually
exclusive?
d. How might a change in the cost of capital produce a conflict
between the NPV
and IRR rankings of these two projects? Would this conflict exist
if r were 5%?
(Hint: Plot the NPV profiles.)
e. Why does the conflict exist
A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J |
2 | |||||||||
3 | a) | ||||||||
4 | Payback Period, NPV, IRR and MIRR Calculation for Project X: | ||||||||
5 | |||||||||
6 | Cash Flow for Project X is as follows: | ||||||||
7 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
8 | Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $6,500 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 | |||
9 | |||||||||
10 | Calculation of Payback period: | ||||||||
11 | Payback period is the period when investment amount is recovered. | ||||||||
12 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
13 | Free Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $6,500 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 | |||
14 | Cumulative cash flow | ($10,000) | ($3,500) | ($500) | $2,500 | $3,500 | |||
15 | |||||||||
16 | Payback period is when cumulative free cash flow becomes zero. | ||||||||
17 | It can be seen from above that cumulative cash flow becomes zero between year 2 and year 3. | ||||||||
18 | |||||||||
19 | To estimate the exact payback period cumulative free cash flow can be proprated over the years as follows: | ||||||||
20 | Payback period | 2.17 | =F12+(0-F14)/(G14-F14) | ||||||
21 | |||||||||
22 | Hence Payback period is | 2.17 | Years | ||||||
23 | |||||||||
24 | |||||||||
25 | |||||||||
26 | Given the following cash flow and WACC, NPV for the project can be calculated as follows: | ||||||||
27 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
28 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $6,500 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 | |||
29 | MARR (i) | 12% | |||||||
30 | (P/F,i,n) for each year | 0.89 | 0.80 | 0.71 | 0.64 | ||||
31 | Present Value of cash flows = FCF*(P/F,i,n) | $5,803.57 | $2,391.58 | $2,135.34 | $635.52 | ||||
32 | Present value if future cash flows | $10,966.01 | =SUM(E31:H31) | ||||||
33 | |||||||||
34 | NPV for Project | =Present value fo future cash flows - Initial investment | |||||||
35 | $966.01 | =D32+D28 | |||||||
36 | |||||||||
37 | Hence NPV for Project | $966.01 | |||||||
38 | |||||||||
39 | Calculation of IRR: | ||||||||
40 | IRR is the rate at which NPV of the project will be zero. | ||||||||
41 | Given the following cash flow IRR can be calculated as below: | ||||||||
42 | |||||||||
43 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
44 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $6,500 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 | |||
45 | |||||||||
46 | NPV=-10000+6500/(1+IRR)^1 +3000/(1+IRR)^2+3000/(1+IRR)^3+1000/(1+IRR)^4 | ||||||||
47 | 0=-10000+6500/(1+IRR)^1 +3000/(1+IRR)^2+3000/(1+IRR)^3+1000/(1+IRR)^4 | ||||||||
48 | IRR can be found using hit and trial method for above equation. | ||||||||
49 | |||||||||
50 | IRR can also be found using IRR function in excel as follows: | ||||||||
51 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
52 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $6,500 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 | |||
53 | IRR | 18.03% | =IRR(D52:H52) | ||||||
54 | |||||||||
55 | Inremental IRR of the project | 18.03% | |||||||
56 | |||||||||
57 | Calculation of MIRR: | ||||||||
58 | MIRR is the rate at which PV of cash outflows is equal to the PV of FV of cash inflows. | ||||||||
59 | Project term | 4 | years | ||||||
60 | Incremental cash flows: | ||||||||
61 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
62 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $6,500 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 | |||
63 | |||||||||
64 | PV of cash outflow | $10,000 | |||||||
65 | |||||||||
66 | Calculation of Future Value of cash inflows | ||||||||
67 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
68 | Incremental Cash Flow | $6,500 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $1,000 | ||||
69 | WACC | 12% | |||||||
70 | Future Value of cash inflows | $9,132 | $3,763 | $3,360 | $1,000 | ||||
71 | Total FV of cash inflows | $17,255 | |||||||
72 | |||||||||
73 | Let r be the MIRR then, | ||||||||
74 | PV of cash outflow*(1+r)4=FV of cash inflow | ||||||||
75 | 10000*(1+r)4=17255 | ||||||||
76 | |||||||||
77 | Solving the above equation: | ||||||||
78 | r = | 14.61% | |||||||
79 | |||||||||
80 | Hence MIRR is | 14.61% | |||||||
81 | |||||||||
82 | Calculation of Profitability Index: | ||||||||
83 | |||||||||
84 | Profitability index is given by following formula: | ||||||||
85 | Profitability index = Present value of future cash flows / Initial Investment | ||||||||
86 | or | ||||||||
87 | Profitability index = (NPV+Initial Investment) / Initial Investment | ||||||||
88 | |||||||||
89 | Using the following data: | ||||||||
90 | NPV | $966.01 | |||||||
91 | Initial Investment | $10,000 | |||||||
92 | |||||||||
93 | Profitability index | = (NPV+Initial Investment) / Initial Investment | |||||||
94 | 1.10 | =(D90+D91)/D91 | |||||||
95 | |||||||||
96 | Hence profitability index of project X is | 1.10 | |||||||
97 | |||||||||
98 | Payback Period, NPV, IRR and MIRR Calculation for Project Y | ||||||||
99 | |||||||||
100 | Cash Flow for Project Y is as follows: | ||||||||
101 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
102 | Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | |||
103 | |||||||||
104 | Calculation of Payback period: | ||||||||
105 | Payback period is the period when investment amount is recovered. | ||||||||
106 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
107 | Free Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | |||
108 | Cumulative cash flow | ($10,000) | ($6,500) | ($3,000) | $500 | $4,000 | |||
109 | |||||||||
110 | Payback period is when cumulative free cash flow becomes zero. | ||||||||
111 | It can be seen from above that cumulative cash flow becomes zero between year 2 and year 3. | ||||||||
112 | |||||||||
113 | To estimate the exact payback period cumulative free cash flow can be proprated over the years as follows: | ||||||||
114 | Payback period | 2.86 | =F106+(0-F108)/(G108-F108) | ||||||
115 | |||||||||
116 | Hence Payback period is | 2.86 | Years | ||||||
117 | |||||||||
118 | Given the following cash flow and WACC, NPV for the project can be calculated as follows: | ||||||||
119 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
120 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | |||
121 | MARR (i) | 12% | |||||||
122 | (P/F,i,n) for each year | 0.89 | 0.80 | 0.71 | 0.64 | ||||
123 | Present Value of cash flows = FCF*(P/F,i,n) | $3,125.00 | $2,790.18 | $2,491.23 | $2,224.31 | ||||
124 | Present value if future cash flows | $10,630.72 | =SUM(E123:H123) | ||||||
125 | |||||||||
126 | NPV for Project | =Present value fo future cash flows - Initial investment | |||||||
127 | $630.72 | =D124+D120 | |||||||
128 | |||||||||
129 | Hence NPV for Project | $630.72 | |||||||
130 | |||||||||
131 | Calculation of IRR: | ||||||||
132 | IRR is the rate at which NPV of the project will be zero. | ||||||||
133 | Given the following cash flow IRR can be calculated as below: | ||||||||
134 | |||||||||
135 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
136 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | |||
137 | |||||||||
138 | NPV=-10000+3500/(1+IRR)^1 +3500/(1+IRR)^2+3500/(1+IRR)^3+3500/(1+IRR)^4 | ||||||||
139 | 0=-10000+3500/(1+IRR)^1 +3500/(1+IRR)^2+3500/(1+IRR)^3+3500/(1+IRR)^4 | ||||||||
140 | IRR can be found using hit and trial method for above equation. | ||||||||
141 | |||||||||
142 | IRR can also be found using IRR function in excel as follows: | ||||||||
143 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
144 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | |||
145 | IRR | 14.96% | =IRR(D144:H144) | ||||||
146 | |||||||||
147 | Inremental IRR of the project | 14.96% | |||||||
148 | |||||||||
149 | Calculation of MIRR: | ||||||||
150 | MIRR is the rate at which PV of cash outflows is equal to the PV of FV of cash inflows. | ||||||||
151 | Project term | 4 | years | ||||||
152 | Incremental cash flows: | ||||||||
153 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
154 | Incremental Cash Flow | ($10,000) | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | |||
155 | |||||||||
156 | PV of cash outflow | $10,000 | |||||||
157 | |||||||||
158 | Calculation of Future Value of cash inflows | ||||||||
159 | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||
160 | Incremental Cash Flow | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | $3,500 | ||||
161 | WACC | 12% | |||||||
162 | Future Value of cash inflows | $4,917 | $4,390 | $3,920 | $3,500 | ||||
163 | Total FV of cash inflows | $16,728 | =SUM(E162:H162) | ||||||
164 | |||||||||
165 | Let r be the MIRR then, | ||||||||
166 | PV of cash outflow*(1+r)4=FV of cash inflow | ||||||||
167 | 10000*(1+r)4=16728 | ||||||||
168 | |||||||||
169 | Solving the above equation: | ||||||||
170 | r = | 13.73% | =((D163/D156)^(1/D151))-1 | ||||||
171 | |||||||||
172 | Hence MIRR of Project Y is | 13.73% | |||||||
173 | |||||||||
174 | |||||||||
175 | Calculation of Profitability Index: | ||||||||
176 | |||||||||
177 | Profitability index is given by following formula: | ||||||||
178 | Profitability index = Present value of future cash flows / Initial Investment | ||||||||
179 | or | ||||||||
180 | Profitability index = (NPV+Initial Investment) / Initial Investment | ||||||||
181 | |||||||||
182 | Using the following data: | ||||||||
183 | NPV | $630.72 | |||||||
184 | Initial Investment | $10,000 | |||||||
185 | |||||||||
186 | Profitability index | = (NPV+Initial Investment) / Initial Investment | |||||||
187 | 1.06 | =(D183+D184)/D184 | |||||||
188 | |||||||||
189 | Hence profitability index of project Y is | 1.06 | |||||||
190 | |||||||||
191 | b) | ||||||||
192 | |||||||||
193 | Since NPV of project X and Y both are positive and independent therefore both projects can be accepted. | ||||||||
194 | |||||||||
195 | c) | ||||||||
196 | |||||||||
197 | Since both project are mutually exlusive, therefore only one project can be selected. | ||||||||
198 | As profitability index shows the profitability of the project and it is higher for project X, | ||||||||
199 | therefore project X should be selected. | ||||||||
200 |