In: Statistics and Probability
Attempt 3
The United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that 17.9%17.9% of women ages 1212–5959 test seropositive for HPV‑16. Suppose that Tara, an infectious disease specialist, assays blood serum from a random sample of ?=1000n=1000 women in the United States aged 1212–59.59.
Apply the central limit theorem for the distribution of a sample proportion to find the probability that the proportion, ?̂ ,p^, of women in Tara's sample who test positive for HPV‑16 is greater than 0.2010.201. Express the result as a decimal precise to three places.
?(?̂ >0.201)=P(p^>0.201)=
Apply the central limit theorem for the distribution of a sample proportion to find the probability that the proportion of women in Tara's sample who test positive for HPV‑16 is less than 0.1730.173. Express the result as a decimal precise to three places.
Solution
Given that,
p = 0.179
1 - p = 1 - 0.179 = 0.821
n = 1000
= p = 0.179
= [p( 1 - p ) / n] = [(0.179 * 0.821) / 1000 ] = 0.0121
a) P( > 0.201) = 1 - P( < 0.201 )
= 1 - P(( - ) / < (0.201 - 0.179) / 0.0121)
= 1 - P(z < 1.82)
Using z table
= 1 - 0.966
= 0.034
b) P( < 0.173)
= P[( - ) / < (0.173 - 0.179) / 0.0121 ]
= P(z < -0.50)
Using z table,
= 0.309