In: Statistics and Probability
The United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that 17.9% of women ages 12–59 test seropositive for HPV‑16. Suppose that Tara, an infectious disease specialist, assays blood serum from a random sample of ?=1000 women in the United States aged 12–59.
Apply the central limit theorem for the distribution of a sample proportion to find the probability that the proportion,p^, of women in Tara's sample who test positive for HPV‑16 is greater than 0.202 Express the result as a decimal precise to three places.
?(?̂ >0.202)=
Apply the central limit theorem for the distribution of a sample proportion to find the probability that the proportion of women in Tara's sample who test positive for HPV‑16 is less than 0.172. Express the result as a decimal precise to three places.
?(?̂ <0.172)=
Solution
Given that,
p = 0.179
1 - p = 1 - 0.179 = 0.821
n = 1000
= p = 0.179
= [p( 1 - p ) / n] = [(0.179 * 0.821) / 1000] = 0.0121
a) P( > 0.202) = 1 - P( < 0.202)
= 1 - P(( - ) / < (0.202 - 0.179) / 0.0121)
= 1 - P(z < 1.90)
Using z table
= 1 - 0.971
= 0.029
b) P( < 0.172)
= P[( - ) / < (0.172 - 0.179) / 0.0121]
= P(z < -0.58)
Using z table,
= 0.281