In: Finance
(Related to Checkpoint 13.2 and Checkpoint 13.3) (Comprehensive risk analysis) Blinkeria is considering introducing a new line of hand scanners that can be used to copy material and then download it into a personal computer. These scanners are expected to sell for an average price of $95 each, and the company analysts performing the analysis expect that the firm can sell 105,000 units per year at this price for a period of five years, after which time they expect demand for the product to end as a result of new technology. In addition, variable costs are expected to be $18 per unit and fixed costs, not including depreciation, are forecast to be $1,100,000 per year. To manufacture this product, Blinkeria will need to buy a computerized production machine for $9.1 million that has no residual or salvage value, and will have an expected life of five years. In addition, the firm expects it will have to invest an additional $304,000 in working capital to support the new business. Other pertinent information concerning the business venture is provided here:
Initial cost of the machine $9,100,000
Expected life 5 years
Salvage value of the machine $0
Working capital requirement $304,000
Depreciation method straight line
Depreciation expense $1,820,000 per year
Cash fixed costs—excluding depreciation $1,100,000 per
year
Variable costs per unit $18
Required rate of return or cost of capital 9.1%
Tax rate 34%
a. Calculate the project's NPV.
b. Determine the sensitivity of the project's NPV to a(n) 8 percent decrease in the number of units sold.
c. Determine the sensitivity of the project's NPV to a(n) 8 percent decrease in the price per unit.
d. Determine the sensitivity of the project's NPV to a(n) 8 percent increase in the variable cost per unit.
e. Determine the sensitivity of the project's NPV to a(n) 8 percent increase in the annual fixed operating costs.
f. Use scenario analysis to evaluate the project's NPV under worst- and best-case scenarios for the project's value drivers. The values for the expected or base-case along with the worst- and best-case scenarios are listed here:
Expected or Base Case Worst
Case Best Case
Unit sales 105,000 72,450
137,550
Price per unit $95 $83.60
$112.10
Variable cost per unit $(18)
$(19.80) $(16.56)
Cash fixed costs per year $(1,100,000)
$(1,298,000) $(1,001,000)
Depreciation expense $(1,820,000)
$(1,820,000) $(1,820,000)
A) before calculating the NPV we need to calculate the project after tax cash flows
B)
C).
D)