In: Finance
Facebook has gone public by issuing equity. As an analyst for a bank, you've estimated that the company will have a Beta of 1.2. You know that Facebook just gave a dividend of $4.00 per share. You anticipate high growth of this dividend for the first few years. You predict that dividend will grow by 20% for three years. After that, you anticipate growth to be a more modest 5% per year. The risk-free rate is 2% and the average return of the market is 13%.
Required rate of return or expected return= Risk Free rate+Beta*Risk Premium=2%+1.2*(13%-2%)=15.20%
Now, dividend on 3rd year=4*(1+20%)^3=$6.912
Dividend on terminal 4th year= 3rd year dividend*(1+growth rate)/(Required rate of return-growth rate)=6.912*(1+5%)/(15.2%-5%)=$71.15
Year | Dividend | Present
Value of dividend (Cash flow/1.152^year) |
1 | 4.8 | 4.166666667 |
2 | 5.76 | 4.340277778 |
3 | 6.912 | 4.521122685 |
4 | 71.15294 | 40.40014654 |
Total | 53.42821367 |
Hence, Today's expected price of facebook stock =$53.42
Hence, dividend yield this year is 8.98% and for next year is 11.69%
Expected price for next year is $49.26